Project Grant: Building a sustainable future for curiosity-driven research

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At a glance

Peer review is the foundation of CIHR's funding system and the health research ecosystem in Canada. It enables CIHR to identify and support health research of the highest quality by engaging appropriate expertise, applying rigorous judgement and ensuring the fair assessment of applications. The peer review system that underpins the Project Grant program is under increasing strain and faces three main challenges:

Together, these challenges create a cycle in which applicants, reviewers, institutions, and CIHR invest increasing time and effort for diminishing returns. Left unaddressed, these pressures risk eroding the quality, efficiency, effectiveness and long-term sustainability of the health research ecosystem.

What we have heard so far

Since January 2026, CIHR has engaged more than 2,000 participants through advisory bodies, networks, institutions, peer review groups and national engagement sessions. There is strong agreement that the system is under real strain, but there is little consensus on how to respond. Feedback to date shows broad support for addressing application pressure and strengthening peer review. However, there are differing views about specific interventions CIHR should take to address these challenges and concerns about potential impacts on fairness, access, and support for the highest-quality, most impactful research.

How CIHR is approaching this discussion

Any future changes to the Project Grant program should strengthen the core principles that underpin peer review as described in Table 1.

Table 1: Principles that guide peer review at CIHR
Principle Description

Expertise

Applications are assessed by individuals with appropriate scientific, methodological, clinical, policy, community and/or lived-experience knowledge.
Research Quality Peer review strengthens the quality, rigor, and impact of health research through expert assessment and constructive feedback.
Fairness Applications are assessed consistently, objectively and without bias.
Transparency Evaluation criteria, processes and decision-making are understandable, defensible, and accessible.
Confidentiality Information related to applications, reviews, deliberations, and funding decisions is protected and shared only with authorized individuals.
Conflict of Interest Real, perceived or potential conflicts are addressed and do not influence outcomes.
Efficiency Time, effort, and resources are used effectively to review applications thoroughly and deliver timely results.
Reciprocity Peer review is a shared responsibility, with those who obtain funding contributing their expertise to support the system from which they benefit.
Fit-for-purpose Review models align with overall objectives, ensuring the program design is appropriate for the intended purpose and outcomes.
Continuous improvement The peer review system is regularly evaluated and refined based on evidence, feedback, and defined outcomes.

Using these principles as a foundation, CIHR is presenting three complementary areas for discussion. They reflect recurring themes, concerns and potential solutions raised through engagements and are informed by program data, environmental scans (Annex 1), and evidence from the broader research funding ecosystem. They are not set roadmaps, a preferred package, or decisions. They are a range of potential interventions on which CIHR is seeking further community feedback.

Three areas for discussion

Managing application pressure explores options to better align application volume with available funding and peer review capacity.

Strengthening peer review explores opportunities to enhance the peer reviewer process through improving reviewer participation, consistency and effectiveness of peer review decision-making.

Improving program design explores how CIHR's investigator-initiated funding program design could better meet the diverse needs of Canada's health research community while strengthening CIHR's ability to deliver on its mandate.

How to participate and what happens next

This discussion paper, the accompanying survey, engagement sessions, and targeted outreach provide several ways for the research community to help shape future decisions. The survey and consultation period will remain open until the end of the year. CIHR is committed to reporting back in early 2027 on what was heard and how that feedback informed subsequent decisions and actions. Survey data will be shared publicly, and analyses will be led by members of the research community. The survey data will be used to inform subsequent analyses on the impact of these combined interventions on funding outcomes.

Past experience with changes to CIHR's peer review processes has reinforced the importance of transparency, engagement, and evidence in decision making. CIHR must balance the need for predictability and stability with the need to address growing pressures on the system. Feedback has already shaped this work: some approaches considered earlier are not being pursued and are included in Annex 2 for transparency. This discussion paper is intended to support further conversation about the challenges, the potential approaches to addressing them, and the considerations that guide future change.

Introduction

When CIHR was created in 2000, the Open Operating Grant Program became its principal mechanism for funding investigator-initiated research. Over time, other complementary programs were developed to support investigator-initiated research with specific objectives. In response to concerns about growing competition pressures and peer review challenges, CIHR launched major reforms between 2012 and 2016, which replaced the Open Operating Grant Program and the suite of complementary programs with two distinct but linked programs: Foundation, which supported research leaders and programs, and Project, which funded individual research projectsFootnote 1, with the intention that these two programs could support the full breadth of investigator-initiated research under the CIHR mandate. Following several years of implementation and evaluation, CIHR refined the model in 2019 by discontinuing the Foundation programFootnote 2 and maintaining the current Project Grant program, which remains CIHR's primary funding mechanism for investigator-driven health research.

Over the past several years, CIHR's Project Grant program has experienced an increase in the number of applications submitted to each competition. This trend is consistent across other CIHR and tri-agency funding opportunities and funding agencies worldwideFootnote 3. During this period, the number of academic staff in Canada has increased but at a slower rateFootnote 4. The pool of applicants across CIHR's grant programs is relatively stable (Figure 1). The rise in application pressure is placing strain on the peer review system, which includes applicants, reviewers, institutions, and CIHR staff. This has prompted an examination of whether the current competition process remains appropriate for the evolving needs of the Canadian health research community. This paper outlines the challenges, summarizes what CIHR has heard to date and presents a range of potential interventions for further community feedback.

Background

Considerations that would guide any change

CIHR's ability to identify scientific excellence depends on a peer review system that engages expert reviewers, applies rigorous judgement, and evaluates applications fairly. Any future changes to the Project Grant program or its peer review processes will support and strengthen the principles outlined in Table 1. CIHR has administered peer review across a wide range of funding opportunities, research disciplines, and adjudication models. This experience includes virtual and in-person review, asynchronous and committee-based assessment, structured and unstructured review processes, and mechanisms tailored to different research communities and funding objectives. CIHR's exploration of potential changes is informed by this extensive experience and the recognition that effective peer review approaches may vary depending on program objectives, application volumes, and the nature of the research being assessed.

Past experiences with changes to CIHR's peer review systems have reinforced the importance of transparency, engagement, and evidence in decision making. If changes are adopted following consultation, CIHR would introduce them incrementally where appropriate and monitor them against defined outcomes. Evidence from implementation and evaluation would inform whether interventions should be retained, refined or reconsidered, with continued opportunities for community feedback.

How the interventions fit together

The Project Grant system is interconnected: changes to application requirements can affect applicant burden and assessment quality; changes to peer review can affect funding outcomes; and changes to program design can affect demand elsewhere in the system. The 8A Grants model (Table 2) illustrates this broader grants management lifecycle. For that reason, the interventions in this paper should be considered both individually and in terms of how they may interact.

Related work underway: Artificial intelligence

The opportunities and implications associated with artificial intelligence extend across CIHR's funding ecosystem and are closely connected to the future of science and peer review. Given their broad and cross-cutting nature, artificial intelligence-related considerations are beyond the scope of this paper and are being examined through separate work that will inform CIHR's AI strategy and future approaches to program delivery.

Interventions to address the challenges

Based on analyses and consultation to date, CIHR is seeking feedback on interventions to address the three main challenges (Table 3).

Table 3: Interventions for the community to consider
Challenge Interventions being explored
Reduce application pressure Application limits, post-award pauses, resubmission approaches, competition structures
Strengthen peer review Peer review reciprocity, stronger Chair and Scientific Officer roles, meeting formats, alternative decision approaches
Improve program design Stand-alone programs, budget approaches, application and assessment requirements

Interventions range from small adjustments to more substantial changes. The ordering of interventions is intended to help readers understand their relative scope and potential impact; it should not be read as a predetermined implementation sequence. Interventions could be considered individually or in combination. Community feedback, evidence, risks and feasibility would help determine which interventions, if any, should be tried. Note that success of one intervention might reduce the need for other interventions.

How any future changes would be implemented and assessed

CIHR heard clearly that the research community prefers incremental, evidence-informed change to rapid large-scale reform. Any interventions that advance would therefore be introduced in a way that allows CIHR to assess impacts, identify unintended consequences, and refine the approach before broader and more complex changes are considered. CIHR would communicate potential changes early and provide preparation timelines appropriate to the scale of the intervention.

Any adopted measures would be assessed against defined objectives. CIHR would use a structured evaluation framework, informed by external advisory guidance, and would provide regular updates through its communications channels. This would help ensure that future decisions remain evidence-informed and that the research community has opportunities to understand and respond to change.

Challenge 1: Reduce application pressure

This section presents a range of interventions that could reduce application pressure relative to the number that can ultimately be funded (Table 4). The options were generated by preliminary engagement with the Canadian research community (Table 5, Table 6) and environmental scans of other national and international funding agencies (Annex 1)Footnote 12Footnote 13Footnote 14Footnote 15Footnote 16. A summary of these options including their main impact, potential benefits and risks can be found in Table 7.

Table 4: Proposed interventions for discussion for balancing demand and system burden
Degree of change Intervention being explored
Incremental One application per nominated principal applicant
Temporary pause after funding
Moderate Capping resubmissions
Structural Single annual intake with feedback-and-response
Biannual intake with feedback-and-response
LOI stage
Rolling intake

Analyses were conducted to assess the potential impact of some interventions on CIHR's application pool with a subset presented here. Additional interventions that were explored but set aside due to strong community or CIHR concerns can be found in Annex 2. The options below are presented from less to more restrictive.

Question for discussion: Which approaches would best reduce application pressure while protecting fairness, access and research excellence, and which trade-offs are most concerning?

Incremental interventions

These interventions are estimated to reduce application pressure by around 19% (~650 applications). Together, they would require relatively limited changes to CIHR's delivery model, as no large, structural changes to the competition process would be made.

Moderate interventions

Structural interventions

CIHR is also seeking views on four more substantial structural changes. They are presented for consideration and not as a predetermined next phase or a commitment to change the current program structure.

Challenge 2: Strengthening peer review

This section focuses on the reviewer pool, the peer review process and the quality and consistency of deliberation and decision-making. It includes a small number of actions already underway, as well as interventions on which CIHR is seeking further feedback, which would be implemented in multiple stages (Table 9). A summary of these options including their main impact, potential benefits and risks can be found in Table 10.

Table 9: Proposed interventions for discussion for strengthening peer review
Timeline Interventions being explored
Actions underway Mandatory peer review
Enhanced role of Chair and Scientific Officer
Near term Expanded in-person peer review
Longer term Partial randomization
Expansion of expertise of CIHR staff
Funding decisions beyond rank order

Question for discussion: Which measures would most improve reviewer participation, consistency, useful feedback and effective deliberation while preserving scientific expertise and fairness?

Actions already underway

Most options in this paper remain exploratory. However, ongoing engagement has identified a small number of measures that have received significant support from the research community and peer review leaders, and CIHR has already begun implementing the actions identified in this section. They are separated from the options that remain under consultation so readers can clearly distinguish between current actions and future possibilities.

Near-term interventions

Longer-term interventions

Challenge 3: Improving program design

This section asks whether the Project Grant program and the broader investigator-initiated funding model could be better designed for the breadth of health research CIHR supports (Table 11). Different research areas may require distinct funding models, application requirements, budget approaches, evaluation criteria, or levels of risk tolerance. The purpose is not to prescribe a single future model, but to identify where greater tailoring could improve research impact while preserving fairness and rigour. A summary of these options including their main impact, potential benefits and risks can be found in Table 12.

Table 11: Proposed interventions for discussion for improving program design
Timeline Intervention
Longer term Standalone programs
Changes to budget assessment
Reconsidering application requirements and review criteria

Question for discussion: Where could distinct program models, revised budget approaches, or different application and assessment requirements better support the needs of health research communities?

Longer-term interventions

What happens next

The purpose of this work and the discussion paper is to build a shared understanding of current challenges and ensure that future decisions are informed by the people who participate in and depend on the Project Grant system. Community engagement, consultation and clear communication will be central to any future change. CIHR will continue outreach with institutions, applicants, reviewers, Institute Advisory Boards, and other interested groups to clarify the challenges, discuss the options and their trade-offs, and hear concerns and alternatives ideas.

A survey co-developed with external researchers that accompanies this discussion paper provides an opportunity to comment on the challenges, the three areas for discussion and the specific options presented. The survey will be used to inform future modeling of the combined impact of interventions on outcomes. Feedback from the survey and upcoming community engagement will be analyzed to inform future decision-making. CIHR is committed to reporting back on what was heard and how that feedback influenced subsequent decisions and actions. Comments, questions, and feedback can be submitted directly to CIHR at: IIRconsultations-consultationsRL@cihr-irsc.gc.ca.

The pressures facing Canada's health research funding system require action. If recent trends persist, the current approach will not remain sustainable. With the exception of measures already identified as underway, the options in this paper remain open for discussion, and CIHR is seeking the community's views before making decisions about which interventions should move forward. While we are committed to meaningful engagement, we recognize that no option is likely to meet everyone's needs or preferences. Difficult choices will be required. For this reason, the research community's input will be critical to identifying solutions that address growing pressures on the system while preserving what matters most: support for Canada's highest-quality and most impactful health research.

The peer review system depends on the leadership, expertise, and engagement of the research community, and meaningful change will require us all to work together. We invite the community to help shape a stronger and more sustainable peer review system that continues to support research with the greatest potential. Over the coming months, CIHR will use what is heard through surveys, consultations, and engagement activities to refine the interventions under consideration and assess their potential impacts. This work will inform future decisions and the development of implementation plans for any changes that move forward. Meeting these challenges will require a collective effort, but together we can ensure that Canada's health research funding system evolves to meet changing needs while remaining resilient, responsive, and able to support the research and discoveries that Canadians rely on.

Annex 1

Environmental Scan

Table 1.1: Strategies implemented by other research organizations.
Research Agency Intervention
  Restrictions by nominated principal applicant Restrictions by institution Limiting AI use AI for desk rejection Rolling intake Revising research impact criteria Revising assessment criteria in peer review Public consultation on demand management
The National Institutes of Health (NIH) ✓ Applicable   ✓ Applicable     ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable
UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) ✓ ApplicableTable 1.1 note i ✓ ApplicableTable 1.1 note i ✓ Applicable     ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable
Wellcome Trust ✓ Applicable       ✓ Applicable      
European Research Council (ERC) ✓ Applicable   ✓ Applicable     ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable
Research Council of Norway (RCN) ✓ Applicable   ✓ ApplicableTable 1.1 note ii   ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable  
National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) ✓ Applicable   ✓ Applicable     ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable
La Caixa Foundation [ PDF (470 KB) - external link ] ✓ Applicable   ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable        
Agence nationale de la rechercheTable 1.1 note iii ✓ Applicable           ✓ Applicable  
Swiss National Science Foundation ✓ Applicable   ✓ ApplicableTable 1.1 note iv     ✓ Applicable ✓ Applicable  

Table 1.1 Notes

Table 1.1 Note i

UKRI is applying changes on an FO basis, depending on the nature and aims of the FO

Return to table 1.1 note i referrer

Table 1.1 Note ii

The RCN notes the use of AI for administrative processing but does not explicitly state its use for desk rejection

Return to table 1.1 note ii referrer

Table 1.1 Note iii

The ANR provides research funding across all disciplines but more closely reflects CIHR's peer review processes

Return to table 1.1 note iii referrer

Table 1.1 Note iv

The SNSF recently updated their guidelines for reviewersFootnote 50, allowing them to use AI to assist them in evaluating grant proposals but not use it as a replacement for their judgement

Return to table 1.1 note iv referrer

Annex 2

Restrictive interventions not being pursued

Institutional quotas

Institutional quotas, like those implemented in some awards programs, would cap the number of applications submitted by each institution. Over the past 4 years, 10% of institutions (13 institutions) submitted 78% of the applications (Figure 2.1), suggesting that enforcing institutional quotas could have a substantial impact on overall application volume. Several quota models were simulated, including caps based on prior success rate, percent ranks, or historical institutional application volumes. Each approach presents distinct advantages and disadvantages, with differential effects based on institution size, application pressure, and funding success. Some models favoured institutions with stronger funding success while others penalized the submission of large volumes of low scoring applications.

Implementing institutional quotas would require significant institutional buy-in, as responsibility for pre-screening and internal selection would sit with the institutions themselves. This approach carries notable risks, as institutions vary considerably in their capacity and resources available to implement internal review processes in a consistent, transparent, and fair manner. Well-resourced institutions may be better positioned to establish robust selection processes, including bias-mitigation practices, training, and formal oversight mechanisms, whereas smaller or less-resourced institutions may face challenges.

Institutional quotas may generate unintended behaviour in applicants and institutions. Internal selection processes could disadvantage early career researchers and may encourage institutions to prioritize applications perceived as 'safer bets' or more likely to secure funding, reducing support for high-risk, high-reward or interdisciplinary research. In principle, institutional quotas may be inconsistent with the foundations of an open competition, as they constrain access prior to peer review, shifting decision-making from an open, peer reviewed process to uneven internal gatekeeping and limiting opportunity for all meritorious ideas to compete on equal footing.

One funded grant per nominated principal applicant

Among CIHR-funded researchers holding investigator-initiated grants (Project, Foundation, and OOGP Grants), most hold one (Figure 2.2). This may be in part due to the nature and duration of Foundation Grants, which provided significant long-term, stable funding. Limiting researchers to holding only one open grant would reduce the number of applications by ~700 (21%).

A one‑grant limit could promote a broader distribution of funding across the research community, supporting a more diverse pool of funded research. Such an approach may also help mitigate the "Matthew effect," whereby researchers who are already well funded are more likely to secure additional grants, reinforcing cumulative advantageFootnote 51. Limiting multiple concurrent grants could improve success rates among early- and mid-career researchers.

However, these potential benefits must be weighed against the risk of constraining top-performing researchers and the overall impact on scientific excellence. Such limits counter one core principle of excellence in peer review: identifying and supporting the strongest ideas and best research proposals. A one-grant limit could nudge applicants to request funding for their entire research program in a single application. This would increase average grant requests and thus reduce the number of grants that can be awarded across a competition.

Annex 3

Figures

Figure 1: Number of unique NPAs who applied, applied for the first time and were funded or applied to CIHR Grant programs.

Figure 1 long description
Fiscal Year NPA Applied or Funded NPA Applied NPA Applied for the First Time
2016-17 5927 4153 799
2017-18 6476 4825 991
2018-19 6264 4477 838
2019-20 6110 4150 696
2020-21 6448 4538 725
2021-22 5797 3595 411
2022-23 5869 3578 516
2023-24 5996 3730 506
2024-25 6246 4349 703
2025-26 6657 4858 797

Return to Figure 1 referrer


Figure 2: Count of number of real and forecast applications submitted across competitions

Figure 2 long description
Project Competition Competition Type Applications Applications Lower Bound Applications Upper Bound Unique NPA Unique NPA Lower Bound Unique NPA Upper Bound
2018 Fall Historic 2484     2191    
2019 Spring Historic 2445     2164    
2019 Fall Historic 2183     1930    
2020 Spring Historic 2130     1918    
2020 Fall Historic 2358     2093    
2021 Spring Historic 2381     2113    
2021 Fall Historic 2014     1804    
2022 Spring Historic 2095     1891    
2022 Fall Historic 1899     1713    
2023 Spring Historic 2113     1899    
2023 Fall Historic 2175     1953    
2024 Spring Historic 2443     2170    
2024 Fall Historic 2631     2305    
2025 Spring Historic 2814     2449    
2025 Fall Historic 3101     2667    
2026 Spring Historic 3344     2853    
2026 Fall Forecast 3550 3406 3631 3016 2907 3071
2027 Spring Forecast 3756 3468 3918 3179 2961 3289
2027 Fall Forecast 3962 3530 4205 3342 3015 3507
2028 Spring Forecast 4168 3592 4492 3505 3069 3725

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Figure 2.1: Percentage of applications by the proportion of institutions

Figure 2.1 long description

This chart shows the cumulative percentage of applications submitted by institutions, ranked from those with the most to the fewest applications. The blue curve rises sharply and then levels off, indicating that applications are concentrated among a relatively small number of institutions rather than being evenly distributed. A dashed grey diagonal line represents an equal distribution of applications across institutions. A dashed red vertical line marks the top 10% of institutions, which, together, account for approx. 80% of all applications. This means that a small proportion of institutions submit the majority of applications.

Return to Figure 2.1 referrer

Figure 2.2: Number of grants held by NPA

Figure 2.2 long description
Fiscal Year Number of Grants Held Number of NPI
2000-01 2 611
2000-01 3+ 230
2000-01 1 1487
2001-02 3+ 306
2001-02 1 1612
2001-02 2 636
2002-03 2 631
2002-03 3+ 254
2002-03 1 1790
2003-04 3+ 267
2003-04 1 1895
2003-04 2 662
2004-05 2 654
2004-05 3+ 219
2004-05 1 1966
2005-06 2 682
2005-06 3+ 229
2005-06 1 2045
2006-07 2 668
2006-07 3+ 224
2006-07 1 2121
2007-08 2 659
2007-08 3+ 234
2007-08 1 2179
2008-09 2 657
2008-09 3+ 210
2008-09 1 2160
2009-10 2 612
2009-10 3+ 229
2009-10 1 2140
2010-11 2 657
2010-11 3+ 212
2010-11 1 2059
2011-12 3+ 215
2011-12 2 625
2011-12 1 2024
2012-13 2 618
2012-13 1 2038
2012-13 3+ 228
2013-14 1 1984
2013-14 2 609
2013-14 3+ 152
2014-15 3+ 196
2014-15 2 609
2014-15 1 2072
2015-16 3+ 187
2015-16 2 574
2015-16 1 1919
2016-17 3+ 177
2016-17 2 562
2016-17 1 1848
2017-18 3+ 148
2017-18 2 533
2017-18 1 1798
2018-19 3+ 131
2018-19 2 531
2018-19 1 1986
2019-20 2 544
2019-20 3+ 110
2019-20 1 2148
2020-21 2 588
2020-21 3+ 114
2020-21 1 2235
2021-22 1 2292
2021-22 2 617
2021-22 3+ 142
2022-23 2 626
2022-23 1 2175
2022-23 3+ 98
2023-24 2 614
2023-24 1 2089
2023-24 3+ 141
2024-25 1 2097
2024-25 3+ 119
2024-25 2 618

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Figure 3: Count of number of real and forecast applications submitted across competitions by pillar

Figure 3 long description
Project Competition Competition Type Pillar Applications Applications Lower Bound Applications Upper Bound
2018 Fall Historic Biomedical 1586    
2018 Fall Historic Clinical 481    
2018 Fall Historic Health systems/services 205    
2018 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 210    
2019 Spring Historic Biomedical 1456    
2019 Spring Historic Clinical 508    
2019 Spring Historic Health systems/services 231    
2019 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 248    
2019 Fall Historic Biomedical 1322    
2019 Fall Historic Clinical 446    
2019 Fall Historic Health systems/services 225    
2019 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 187    
2020 Spring Historic Biomedical 1240    
2020 Spring Historic Clinical 464    
2020 Spring Historic Health systems/services 200    
2020 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 221    
2020 Fall Historic Biomedical 1311    
2020 Fall Historic Clinical 526    
2020 Fall Historic Health systems/services 251    
2020 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 266    
2021 Spring Historic Biomedical 1358    
2021 Spring Historic Clinical 528    
2021 Spring Historic Health systems/services 239    
2021 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 250    
2021 Fall Historic Biomedical 1237    
2021 Fall Historic Clinical 424    
2021 Fall Historic Health systems/services 174    
2021 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 172    
2022 Spring Historic Biomedical 1216    
2022 Spring Historic Clinical 458    
2022 Spring Historic Health systems/services 203    
2022 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 212    
2022 Fall Historic Biomedical 1164    
2022 Fall Historic Clinical 381    
2022 Fall Historic Health systems/services 165    
2022 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 187    
2023 Spring Historic Biomedical 1260    
2023 Spring Historic Clinical 438    
2023 Spring Historic Health systems/services 196    
2023 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 213    
2023 Fall Historic Biomedical 1266    
2023 Fall Historic Clinical 460    
2023 Fall Historic Health systems/services 219    
2023 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 225    
2024 Spring Historic Biomedical 1404    
2024 Spring Historic Clinical 523    
2024 Spring Historic Health systems/services 255    
2024 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 253    
2024 Fall Historic Biomedical 1512    
2024 Fall Historic Clinical 583    
2024 Fall Historic Health systems/services 260    
2024 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 271    
2025 Spring Historic Biomedical 1589    
2025 Spring Historic Clinical 632    
2025 Spring Historic Health systems/services 298    
2025 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 289    
2025 Fall Historic Biomedical 1726    
2025 Fall Historic Clinical 673    
2025 Fall Historic Health systems/services 363    
2025 Fall Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 335    
2026 Spring Historic Biomedical 1773    
2026 Spring Historic Clinical 764    
2026 Spring Historic Health systems/services 419    
2026 Spring Historic Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 378    
2026 Fall Forecast Biomedical 1860 1779 1911
2026 Fall Forecast Clinical 819 786 855
2026 Fall Forecast Health systems/services 455 424 484
2026 Fall Forecast Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 405 390 424
2027 Spring Forecast Biomedical 1947 1785 2049
2027 Spring Forecast Clinical 874 808 946
2027 Spring Forecast Health systems/services 491 429 549
2027 Spring Forecast Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 432 402 470
2027 Fall Forecast Biomedical 2034 1791 2187
2027 Fall Forecast Clinical 929 830 1037
2027 Fall Forecast Health systems/services 527 434 614
2027 Fall Forecast Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 459 414 516
2028 Spring Forecast Biomedical 2121 1797 2325
2028 Spring Forecast Clinical 984 852 1128
2028 Spring Forecast Health systems/services 563 439 679
2028 Spring Forecast Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 486 426 562

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Figure 4: Count of number of real and forecast applications submitted across competitions by career stage

Figure 4 long description
Project Competition Competition Type Career Stage Applications Applications Lower Bound Applications Upper Bound
2018 Fall Historic ECR 555    
2018 Fall Historic MCR 1045    
2018 Fall Historic SCR 878    
2019 Spring Historic ECR 558    
2019 Spring Historic MCR 1010    
2019 Spring Historic SCR 875    
2019 Fall Historic ECR 489    
2019 Fall Historic MCR 917    
2019 Fall Historic SCR 769    
2020 Spring Historic ECR 528    
2020 Spring Historic MCR 890    
2020 Spring Historic SCR 709    
2020 Fall Historic ECR 639    
2020 Fall Historic MCR 938    
2020 Fall Historic SCR 777    
2021 Spring Historic ECR 630    
2021 Spring Historic MCR 880    
2021 Spring Historic SCR 865    
2021 Fall Historic ECR 542    
2021 Fall Historic MCR 709    
2021 Fall Historic SCR 758    
2022 Spring Historic ECR 583    
2022 Spring Historic MCR 726    
2022 Spring Historic SCR 777    
2022 Fall Historic ECR 523    
2022 Fall Historic MCR 645    
2022 Fall Historic SCR 724    
2023 Spring Historic ECR 577    
2023 Spring Historic MCR 760    
2023 Spring Historic SCR 776    
2023 Fall Historic ECR 525    
2023 Fall Historic MCR 815    
2023 Fall Historic SCR 830    
2024 Spring Historic ECR 616    
2024 Spring Historic MCR 907    
2024 Spring Historic SCR 916    
2024 Fall Historic ECR 670    
2024 Fall Historic MCR 968    
2024 Fall Historic SCR 989    
2025 Spring Historic ECR 751    
2025 Spring Historic MCR 997    
2025 Spring Historic SCR 1061    
2025 Fall Historic ECR 785    
2025 Fall Historic MCR 1069    
2025 Fall Historic SCR 1240    
2026 Spring Historic ECR 841    
2026 Spring Historic MCR 1221    
2026 Spring Historic SCR 1277    
2026 Fall Forecast ECR 886 789 932
2026 Fall Forecast MCR 1303 1250 1373
2026 Fall Forecast SCR 1356 1314 1456
2027 Spring Forecast ECR 931 737 1023
2027 Spring Forecast MCR 1385 1279 1525
2027 Spring Forecast SCR 1435 1351 1635
2027 Fall Forecast ECR 976 685 1114
2027 Fall Forecast MCR 1467 1308 1677
2027 Fall Forecast SCR 1514 1388 1814
2028 Spring Forecast ECR 1021 633 1205
2028 Spring Forecast MCR 1549 1337 1829
2028 Spring Forecast SCR 1593 1425 1993

Return to Figure 4 referrer


Figure 5: Count of number of real and forecast applications submitted across competitions by panel for Health Services Evaluation & Interventions Research (HS1), Public, Community & Population Health (PH1), and Randomized Controlled Trials (RC1)

Figure 5 long description
Project Competition Competition Type Career Stage Applications Applications Lower Bound Applications Upper Bound
2018 Fall Historic BCA 68    
2018 Fall Historic BMA 31    
2018 Fall Historic BMB 41    
2018 Fall Historic BME 45    
2018 Fall Historic BSA 68    
2018 Fall Historic BSB 63    
2018 Fall Historic BSC 52    
2018 Fall Historic CBB 85    
2018 Fall Historic CBC 29    
2018 Fall Historic CBT 111    
2018 Fall Historic CHI 53    
2018 Fall Historic CIA 69    
2018 Fall Historic CIB 68    
2018 Fall Historic CIC 23    
2018 Fall Historic CID 42    
2018 Fall Historic CMZ 25    
2018 Fall Historic CPT 90    
2018 Fall Historic CSA 23    
2018 Fall Historic CSB 49    
2018 Fall Historic CSC 38    
2018 Fall Historic DOL 46    
2018 Fall Historic G 59    
2018 Fall Historic GMX 23    
2018 Fall Historic GSH 40    
2018 Fall Historic HDK 47    
2018 Fall Historic HLE 18    
2018 Fall Historic HPM 36    
2018 Fall Historic HS1 134    
2018 Fall Historic IHR 23    
2018 Fall Historic KTR 20    
2018 Fall Historic MCC 46    
2018 Fall Historic MID 55    
2018 Fall Historic MOV 58    
2018 Fall Historic MPI 57    
2018 Fall Historic NSA 59    
2018 Fall Historic NSB 70    
2018 Fall Historic NUT 52    
2018 Fall Historic PB1 67    
2018 Fall Historic PH1 104    
2018 Fall Historic PS 47    
2018 Fall Historic PT 40    
2018 Fall Historic RC1 84    
2018 Fall Historic RS 41    
2018 Fall Historic SDA 21    
2018 Fall Historic VVP 57    
2019 Spring Historic BCA 54    
2019 Spring Historic BMA 27    
2019 Spring Historic BMB 30    
2019 Spring Historic BME 36    
2019 Spring Historic BSA 49    
2019 Spring Historic BSB 74    
2019 Spring Historic BSC 54    
2019 Spring Historic CB1 38    
2019 Spring Historic CBB 61    
2019 Spring Historic CBC 29    
2019 Spring Historic CBT 94    
2019 Spring Historic CHI 58    
2019 Spring Historic CIA 82    
2019 Spring Historic CIB 64    
2019 Spring Historic CIC 32    
2019 Spring Historic CID 40    
2019 Spring Historic CMZ 22    
2019 Spring Historic CPT 80    
2019 Spring Historic CSA 25    
2019 Spring Historic CSB 27    
2019 Spring Historic CSC 27    
2019 Spring Historic DOL 41    
2019 Spring Historic G 52    
2019 Spring Historic GMX 20    
2019 Spring Historic GSH 28    
2019 Spring Historic HDK 41    
2019 Spring Historic HLE 19    
2019 Spring Historic HPM 32    
2019 Spring Historic HS1 175    
2019 Spring Historic IHR 26    
2019 Spring Historic KTR 32    
2019 Spring Historic MCC 42    
2019 Spring Historic MID 46    
2019 Spring Historic MOV 45    
2019 Spring Historic MPI 64    
2019 Spring Historic NSA 53    
2019 Spring Historic NSB 63    
2019 Spring Historic NUT 60    
2019 Spring Historic PB1 72    
2019 Spring Historic PH1 126    
2019 Spring Historic PS 44    
2019 Spring Historic PT 40    
2019 Spring Historic RC1 88    
2019 Spring Historic RS 48    
2019 Spring Historic SDA 25    
2019 Spring Historic VVP 54    
2019 Fall Historic BCA 58    
2019 Fall Historic BMA 34    
2019 Fall Historic BMB 25    
2019 Fall Historic BME 36    
2019 Fall Historic BSA 37    
2019 Fall Historic BSB 86    
2019 Fall Historic BSC 37    
2019 Fall Historic CB1 25    
2019 Fall Historic CBB 52    
2019 Fall Historic CBC 24    
2019 Fall Historic CBT 86    
2019 Fall Historic CHI 45    
2019 Fall Historic CIA 69    
2019 Fall Historic CIB 55    
2019 Fall Historic CIC 16    
2019 Fall Historic CID 50    
2019 Fall Historic CMZ 22    
2019 Fall Historic CPT 94    
2019 Fall Historic CSA 22    
2019 Fall Historic CSB 31    
2019 Fall Historic CSC 32    
2019 Fall Historic DOL 32    
2019 Fall Historic G 63    
2019 Fall Historic GSH 33    
2019 Fall Historic HDK 36    
2019 Fall Historic HLE 9    
2019 Fall Historic HPM 41    
2019 Fall Historic HS1 148    
2019 Fall Historic IHR 23    
2019 Fall Historic KTR 27    
2019 Fall Historic MCC 34    
2019 Fall Historic MID 41    
2019 Fall Historic MOV 37    
2019 Fall Historic MPI 46    
2019 Fall Historic NSA 55    
2019 Fall Historic NSB 51    
2019 Fall Historic NUT 49    
2019 Fall Historic PB1 69    
2019 Fall Historic PH1 96    
2019 Fall Historic PS 50    
2019 Fall Historic PT 31    
2019 Fall Historic RC1 71    
2019 Fall Historic RS 36    
2019 Fall Historic SDA 25    
2019 Fall Historic VVP 48    
2020 Spring Historic BCA 42    
2020 Spring Historic BMA 25    
2020 Spring Historic BMB 21    
2020 Spring Historic BME 31    
2020 Spring Historic BSA 30    
2020 Spring Historic BSB 106    
2020 Spring Historic BSC 44    
2020 Spring Historic CB1 29    
2020 Spring Historic CBB 42    
2020 Spring Historic CBC 29    
2020 Spring Historic CBT 91    
2020 Spring Historic CHI 55    
2020 Spring Historic CIA 63    
2020 Spring Historic CIB 51    
2020 Spring Historic CIC 35    
2020 Spring Historic CID 45    
2020 Spring Historic CMZ 24    
2020 Spring Historic CPT 74    
2020 Spring Historic CSA 19    
2020 Spring Historic CSB 29    
2020 Spring Historic CSC 25    
2020 Spring Historic DOL 21    
2020 Spring Historic G 41    
2020 Spring Historic GMX 23    
2020 Spring Historic GSH 36    
2020 Spring Historic HDK 39    
2020 Spring Historic HLE 12    
2020 Spring Historic HPM 43    
2020 Spring Historic HS1 122    
2020 Spring Historic IHR 22    
2020 Spring Historic KTR 20    
2020 Spring Historic MCC 37    
2020 Spring Historic MID 38    
2020 Spring Historic MOV 32    
2020 Spring Historic MPI 55    
2020 Spring Historic NSA 55    
2020 Spring Historic NSB 51    
2020 Spring Historic NUT 46    
2020 Spring Historic PB1 68    
2020 Spring Historic PH1 113    
2020 Spring Historic PS 48    
2020 Spring Historic PT 25    
2020 Spring Historic RC1 83    
2020 Spring Historic RS 42    
2020 Spring Historic SDA 26    
2020 Spring Historic VVP 38    
2020 Fall Historic BCA 50    
2020 Fall Historic BMA 25    
2020 Fall Historic BMB 26    
2020 Fall Historic BME 45    
2020 Fall Historic BSA 31    
2020 Fall Historic BSB 93    
2020 Fall Historic BSC 39    
2020 Fall Historic CB1 31    
2020 Fall Historic CBB 42    
2020 Fall Historic CBC 32    
2020 Fall Historic CBT 84    
2020 Fall Historic CHI 52    
2020 Fall Historic CIA 92    
2020 Fall Historic CIB 65    
2020 Fall Historic CIC 28    
2020 Fall Historic CID 58    
2020 Fall Historic CMZ 13    
2020 Fall Historic CPT 88    
2020 Fall Historic CSA 21    
2020 Fall Historic CSB 31    
2020 Fall Historic CSC 34    
2020 Fall Historic DOL 31    
2020 Fall Historic G 50    
2020 Fall Historic GMX 20    
2020 Fall Historic GSH 38    
2020 Fall Historic HDK 31    
2020 Fall Historic HLE 14    
2020 Fall Historic HPM 62    
2020 Fall Historic HS1 172    
2020 Fall Historic IHR 30    
2020 Fall Historic KTR 28    
2020 Fall Historic MCC 31    
2020 Fall Historic MID 41    
2020 Fall Historic MOV 30    
2020 Fall Historic MPI 60    
2020 Fall Historic NSA 53    
2020 Fall Historic NSB 48    
2020 Fall Historic NUT 48    
2020 Fall Historic PB1 45    
2020 Fall Historic PH1 144    
2020 Fall Historic PS 50    
2020 Fall Historic PT 32    
2020 Fall Historic RC1 114    
2020 Fall Historic RS 38    
2020 Fall Historic SDA 30    
2020 Fall Historic VVP 66    
2021 Spring Historic BCA 45    
2021 Spring Historic BMA 21    
2021 Spring Historic BMB 29    
2021 Spring Historic BME 42    
2021 Spring Historic BSA 39    
2021 Spring Historic BSB 105    
2021 Spring Historic BSC 41    
2021 Spring Historic CB1 33    
2021 Spring Historic CBB 43    
2021 Spring Historic CBC 30    
2021 Spring Historic CBT 93    
2021 Spring Historic CHI 48    
2021 Spring Historic CIA 100    
2021 Spring Historic CIB 62    
2021 Spring Historic CIC 21    
2021 Spring Historic CID 69    
2021 Spring Historic CMZ 21    
2021 Spring Historic CPT 90    
2021 Spring Historic CSA 19    
2021 Spring Historic CSB 32    
2021 Spring Historic CSC 34    
2021 Spring Historic DOL 37    
2021 Spring Historic G 36    
2021 Spring Historic GMX 27    
2021 Spring Historic GSH 43    
2021 Spring Historic HDK 39    
2021 Spring Historic HLE 15    
2021 Spring Historic HPM 50    
2021 Spring Historic HS1 145    
2021 Spring Historic IHR 28    
2021 Spring Historic KTR 23    
2021 Spring Historic MCC 46    
2021 Spring Historic MID 59    
2021 Spring Historic MOV 48    
2021 Spring Historic MPI 57    
2021 Spring Historic NSA 56    
2021 Spring Historic NSB 47    
2021 Spring Historic NUT 40    
2021 Spring Historic PB1 52    
2021 Spring Historic PH1 133    
2021 Spring Historic PS 47    
2021 Spring Historic PT 36    
2021 Spring Historic RC1 92    
2021 Spring Historic RS 39    
2021 Spring Historic SDA 25    
2021 Spring Historic VVP 46    
2021 Fall Historic BCA 46    
2021 Fall Historic BMA 27    
2021 Fall Historic BMB 24    
2021 Fall Historic BME 53    
2021 Fall Historic BSA 31    
2021 Fall Historic BSB 76    
2021 Fall Historic BSC 35    
2021 Fall Historic CB1 27    
2021 Fall Historic CBB 45    
2021 Fall Historic CBC 21    
2021 Fall Historic CBT 80    
2021 Fall Historic CHI 42    
2021 Fall Historic CIA 89    
2021 Fall Historic CIB 57    
2021 Fall Historic CIC 25    
2021 Fall Historic CID 47    
2021 Fall Historic CMZ 17    
2021 Fall Historic CPT 69    
2021 Fall Historic CSA 23    
2021 Fall Historic CSB 34    
2021 Fall Historic CSC 33    
2021 Fall Historic DOL 40    
2021 Fall Historic G 39    
2021 Fall Historic GMX 33    
2021 Fall Historic GSH 33    
2021 Fall Historic HDK 40    
2021 Fall Historic HPM 32    
2021 Fall Historic HS1 118    
2021 Fall Historic IHR 18    
2021 Fall Historic KTR 26    
2021 Fall Historic MCC 33    
2021 Fall Historic MID 48    
2021 Fall Historic MOV 39    
2021 Fall Historic MPI 49    
2021 Fall Historic NSA 59    
2021 Fall Historic NSB 53    
2021 Fall Historic NUT 31    
2021 Fall Historic PB1 24    
2021 Fall Historic PH1 91    
2021 Fall Historic PS 40    
2021 Fall Historic PT 35    
2021 Fall Historic RC1 77    
2021 Fall Historic RS 41    
2021 Fall Historic SDA 12    
2021 Fall Historic TIR 14    
2021 Fall Historic VVP 32    
2022 Spring Historic BCA 50    
2022 Spring Historic BMA 17    
2022 Spring Historic BMB 19    
2022 Spring Historic BME 62    
2022 Spring Historic BSA 28    
2022 Spring Historic BSB 84    
2022 Spring Historic BSC 37    
2022 Spring Historic CB1 28    
2022 Spring Historic CBB 54    
2022 Spring Historic CBC 25    
2022 Spring Historic CBT 71    
2022 Spring Historic CHI 39    
2022 Spring Historic CIA 70    
2022 Spring Historic CIB 51    
2022 Spring Historic CIC 26    
2022 Spring Historic CID 43    
2022 Spring Historic CMZ 25    
2022 Spring Historic CPT 69    
2022 Spring Historic CSA 25    
2022 Spring Historic CSB 24    
2022 Spring Historic CSC 30    
2022 Spring Historic DOL 29    
2022 Spring Historic G 45    
2022 Spring Historic GMX 44    
2022 Spring Historic GSH 32    
2022 Spring Historic HDK 33    
2022 Spring Historic HLE 11    
2022 Spring Historic HPM 35    
2022 Spring Historic HS1 130    
2022 Spring Historic IHR 21    
2022 Spring Historic KTR 24    
2022 Spring Historic MCC 37    
2022 Spring Historic MID 45    
2022 Spring Historic MOV 49    
2022 Spring Historic MPI 42    
2022 Spring Historic NSA 60    
2022 Spring Historic NSB 46    
2022 Spring Historic NUT 28    
2022 Spring Historic PB1 45    
2022 Spring Historic PH1 113    
2022 Spring Historic PS 42    
2022 Spring Historic PT 41    
2022 Spring Historic RC1 88    
2022 Spring Historic RS 32    
2022 Spring Historic SDA 22    
2022 Spring Historic TIR 21    
2022 Spring Historic VVP 44    
2022 Fall Historic BCA 43    
2022 Fall Historic BMA 22    
2022 Fall Historic BMB 25    
2022 Fall Historic BME 49    
2022 Fall Historic BSA 34    
2022 Fall Historic BSB 84    
2022 Fall Historic BSC 35    
2022 Fall Historic CB1 30    
2022 Fall Historic CBB 53    
2022 Fall Historic CBC 29    
2022 Fall Historic CBT 53    
2022 Fall Historic CHI 38    
2022 Fall Historic CIA 79    
2022 Fall Historic CIB 52    
2022 Fall Historic CIC 19    
2022 Fall Historic CID 31    
2022 Fall Historic CMZ 30    
2022 Fall Historic CPT 78    
2022 Fall Historic CSA 17    
2022 Fall Historic CSB 22    
2022 Fall Historic CSC 27    
2022 Fall Historic DOL 36    
2022 Fall Historic G 35    
2022 Fall Historic GMX 45    
2022 Fall Historic GSH 28    
2022 Fall Historic HDK 24    
2022 Fall Historic HLE 10    
2022 Fall Historic HPM 28    
2022 Fall Historic HS1 109    
2022 Fall Historic IHR 12    
2022 Fall Historic IMN 46    
2022 Fall Historic KTR 21    
2022 Fall Historic MCC 37    
2022 Fall Historic MID 46    
2022 Fall Historic MOV 37    
2022 Fall Historic MPI 38    
2022 Fall Historic NSA 56    
2022 Fall Historic NSB 40    
2022 Fall Historic NUT 31    
2022 Fall Historic PB1 44    
2022 Fall Historic PH1 94    
2022 Fall Historic PS 37    
2022 Fall Historic PT 39    
2022 Fall Historic RC1 69    
2022 Fall Historic RS 25    
2022 Fall Historic SDA 13    
2022 Fall Historic TIR 14    
2022 Fall Historic VVP 35    
2023 Spring Historic BCA 54    
2023 Spring Historic BMA 32    
2023 Spring Historic BMB 30    
2023 Spring Historic BME 67    
2023 Spring Historic BSA 39    
2023 Spring Historic BSB 82    
2023 Spring Historic BSC 29    
2023 Spring Historic CB1 29    
2023 Spring Historic CBB 48    
2023 Spring Historic CBC 24    
2023 Spring Historic CBT 70    
2023 Spring Historic CHI 30    
2023 Spring Historic CIA 81    
2023 Spring Historic CIB 51    
2023 Spring Historic CIC 22    
2023 Spring Historic CID 29    
2023 Spring Historic CMZ 35    
2023 Spring Historic CPT 69    
2023 Spring Historic CSA 17    
2023 Spring Historic CSB 26    
2023 Spring Historic CSC 30    
2023 Spring Historic DOL 33    
2023 Spring Historic G 45    
2023 Spring Historic GMX 29    
2023 Spring Historic GSH 21    
2023 Spring Historic HDK 30    
2023 Spring Historic HLE 11    
2023 Spring Historic HPM 33    
2023 Spring Historic HS1 129    
2023 Spring Historic IHR 18    
2023 Spring Historic IMN 43    
2023 Spring Historic KTR 29    
2023 Spring Historic MCC 42    
2023 Spring Historic MID 48    
2023 Spring Historic MOV 45    
2023 Spring Historic MPI 54    
2023 Spring Historic NSA 44    
2023 Spring Historic NSB 48    
2023 Spring Historic NUT 35    
2023 Spring Historic PB1 44    
2023 Spring Historic PH1 122    
2023 Spring Historic PS 42    
2023 Spring Historic PT 44    
2023 Spring Historic RC1 132    
2023 Spring Historic RS 28    
2023 Spring Historic SDA 12    
2023 Spring Historic TIR 20    
2023 Spring Historic VVP 38    
2023 Fall Historic BCA 44    
2023 Fall Historic BMA 28    
2023 Fall Historic BMB 30    
2023 Fall Historic BME 62    
2023 Fall Historic BSA 39    
2023 Fall Historic BSB 80    
2023 Fall Historic BSC 47    
2023 Fall Historic CB1 33    
2023 Fall Historic CBB 48    
2023 Fall Historic CBC 34    
2023 Fall Historic CBT 60    
2023 Fall Historic CHI 31    
2023 Fall Historic CIA 88    
2023 Fall Historic CIB 49    
2023 Fall Historic CIC 25    
2023 Fall Historic CID 34    
2023 Fall Historic CMZ 29    
2023 Fall Historic CPT 80    
2023 Fall Historic CSA 19    
2023 Fall Historic CSB 28    
2023 Fall Historic CSC 26    
2023 Fall Historic DOL 30    
2023 Fall Historic G 56    
2023 Fall Historic GMX 38    
2023 Fall Historic GSH 41    
2023 Fall Historic HDK 32    
2023 Fall Historic HLE 14    
2023 Fall Historic HPM 39    
2023 Fall Historic HS1 139    
2023 Fall Historic IHR 15    
2023 Fall Historic IMN 53    
2023 Fall Historic KTR 30    
2023 Fall Historic MCC 41    
2023 Fall Historic MID 45    
2023 Fall Historic MOV 47    
2023 Fall Historic MPI 44    
2023 Fall Historic NSA 50    
2023 Fall Historic NSB 43    
2023 Fall Historic NUT 32    
2023 Fall Historic PB1 49    
2023 Fall Historic PH1 115    
2023 Fall Historic PS 36    
2023 Fall Historic PT 35    
2023 Fall Historic RC1 122    
2023 Fall Historic RS 40    
2023 Fall Historic SDA 15    
2023 Fall Historic TIR 24    
2023 Fall Historic VVP 36    
2024 Spring Historic BCA 65    
2024 Spring Historic BMA 34    
2024 Spring Historic BMB 27    
2024 Spring Historic BME 74    
2024 Spring Historic BSA 37    
2024 Spring Historic BSB 83    
2024 Spring Historic BSC 43    
2024 Spring Historic CB1 35    
2024 Spring Historic CBB 72    
2024 Spring Historic CBC 31    
2024 Spring Historic CBT 53    
2024 Spring Historic CHI 44    
2024 Spring Historic CIA 100    
2024 Spring Historic CIB 47    
2024 Spring Historic CIC 34    
2024 Spring Historic CID 34    
2024 Spring Historic CMZ 40    
2024 Spring Historic CPT 91    
2024 Spring Historic CSA 21    
2024 Spring Historic CSB 27    
2024 Spring Historic CSC 32    
2024 Spring Historic DOL 38    
2024 Spring Historic G 53    
2024 Spring Historic GMX 36    
2024 Spring Historic GSH 48    
2024 Spring Historic HDK 25    
2024 Spring Historic HLE 12    
2024 Spring Historic HPM 47    
2024 Spring Historic HS1 163    
2024 Spring Historic IHR 25    
2024 Spring Historic IMN 59    
2024 Spring Historic KTR 48    
2024 Spring Historic MCC 42    
2024 Spring Historic MID 60    
2024 Spring Historic MOV 41    
2024 Spring Historic MPI 44    
2024 Spring Historic NSA 58    
2024 Spring Historic NSB 46    
2024 Spring Historic NUT 37    
2024 Spring Historic PB1 46    
2024 Spring Historic PH1 135    
2024 Spring Historic PS 49    
2024 Spring Historic PT 36    
2024 Spring Historic RC1 134    
2024 Spring Historic RS 42    
2024 Spring Historic SDA 22    
2024 Spring Historic TIR 26    
2024 Spring Historic VVP 47    
2024 Fall Historic BCA 71    
2024 Fall Historic BMA 35    
2024 Fall Historic BMB 34    
2024 Fall Historic BME 65    
2024 Fall Historic BSA 41    
2024 Fall Historic BSB 100    
2024 Fall Historic BSC 57    
2024 Fall Historic CB1 45    
2024 Fall Historic CBB 80    
2024 Fall Historic CBC 34    
2024 Fall Historic CBT 64    
2024 Fall Historic CHI 40    
2024 Fall Historic CIA 77    
2024 Fall Historic CIB 50    
2024 Fall Historic CIC 31    
2024 Fall Historic CID 45    
2024 Fall Historic CMZ 42    
2024 Fall Historic CPT 88    
2024 Fall Historic CSA 24    
2024 Fall Historic CSB 36    
2024 Fall Historic CSC 29    
2024 Fall Historic DOL 47    
2024 Fall Historic G 57    
2024 Fall Historic GMX 38    
2024 Fall Historic GSH 68    
2024 Fall Historic HDK 30    
2024 Fall Historic HLE 12    
2024 Fall Historic HPM 54    
2024 Fall Historic HS1 163    
2024 Fall Historic IHR 24    
2024 Fall Historic IMN 49    
2024 Fall Historic KTR 36    
2024 Fall Historic MCC 58    
2024 Fall Historic MID 48    
2024 Fall Historic MOV 48    
2024 Fall Historic MPI 56    
2024 Fall Historic NSA 60    
2024 Fall Historic NSB 44    
2024 Fall Historic NUT 41    
2024 Fall Historic PB1 65    
2024 Fall Historic PH1 131    
2024 Fall Historic PS 58    
2024 Fall Historic PT 40    
2024 Fall Historic RC1 163    
2024 Fall Historic RS 53    
2024 Fall Historic SDA 29    
2024 Fall Historic TIR 38    
2024 Fall Historic VVP 33    
2025 Spring Historic BCA 74    
2025 Spring Historic BMA 40    
2025 Spring Historic BMB 28    
2025 Spring Historic BME 81    
2025 Spring Historic BSA 37    
2025 Spring Historic BSB 112    
2025 Spring Historic BSC 57    
2025 Spring Historic CB1 48    
2025 Spring Historic CBB 88    
2025 Spring Historic CBC 34    
2025 Spring Historic CBT 69    
2025 Spring Historic CHI 48    
2025 Spring Historic CIA 85    
2025 Spring Historic CIB 63    
2025 Spring Historic CIC 36    
2025 Spring Historic CID 49    
2025 Spring Historic CMZ 48    
2025 Spring Historic CPT 115    
2025 Spring Historic CSA 14    
2025 Spring Historic CSB 23    
2025 Spring Historic CSC 30    
2025 Spring Historic DOL 37    
2025 Spring Historic G 64    
2025 Spring Historic GMX 53    
2025 Spring Historic GSH 58    
2025 Spring Historic HDK 35    
2025 Spring Historic HLE 10    
2025 Spring Historic HPM 44    
2025 Spring Historic HS1 205    
2025 Spring Historic IHR 29    
2025 Spring Historic IMN 60    
2025 Spring Historic KTR 40    
2025 Spring Historic MCC 47    
2025 Spring Historic MID 46    
2025 Spring Historic MOV 56    
2025 Spring Historic MPI 58    
2025 Spring Historic NSA 45    
2025 Spring Historic NSB 42    
2025 Spring Historic NUT 48    
2025 Spring Historic PB1 57    
2025 Spring Historic PH1 161    
2025 Spring Historic PS 52    
2025 Spring Historic PT 40    
2025 Spring Historic RC1 175    
2025 Spring Historic RS 56    
2025 Spring Historic SDA 32    
2025 Spring Historic TIR 39    
2025 Spring Historic VVP 46    
2025 Fall Historic BCA 64    
2025 Fall Historic BMA 33    
2025 Fall Historic BMB 43    
2025 Fall Historic BME 96    
2025 Fall Historic BSA 35    
2025 Fall Historic BSB 100    
2025 Fall Historic BSC 69    
2025 Fall Historic CB1 59    
2025 Fall Historic CBB 81    
2025 Fall Historic CBC 33    
2025 Fall Historic CBT 102    
2025 Fall Historic CHI 54    
2025 Fall Historic CIA 105    
2025 Fall Historic CIB 82    
2025 Fall Historic CIC 44    
2025 Fall Historic CID 56    
2025 Fall Historic CMZ 60    
2025 Fall Historic CPT 97    
2025 Fall Historic CSA 15    
2025 Fall Historic CSB 26    
2025 Fall Historic CSC 30    
2025 Fall Historic DOL 46    
2025 Fall Historic G 66    
2025 Fall Historic GMX 50    
2025 Fall Historic GSH 72    
2025 Fall Historic HDK 38    
2025 Fall Historic HLE 11    
2025 Fall Historic HPM 55    
2025 Fall Historic HS1 237    
2025 Fall Historic IHR 32    
2025 Fall Historic IMN 54    
2025 Fall Historic KTR 58    
2025 Fall Historic MCC 60    
2025 Fall Historic MID 56    
2025 Fall Historic MOV 48    
2025 Fall Historic MPI 62    
2025 Fall Historic NSA 61    
2025 Fall Historic NSB 52    
2025 Fall Historic NUT 41    
2025 Fall Historic PB1 81    
2025 Fall Historic PH1 185    
2025 Fall Historic PS 49    
2025 Fall Historic PT 48    
2025 Fall Historic RC1 191    
2025 Fall Historic RS 54    
2025 Fall Historic SDA 16    
2025 Fall Historic TIR 47    
2025 Fall Historic VVP 47    
2026 Spring Historic BCA 88    
2026 Spring Historic BMA 36    
2026 Spring Historic BMB 39    
2026 Spring Historic BME 106    
2026 Spring Historic BSA 46    
2026 Spring Historic BSB 127    
2026 Spring Historic BSC 62    
2026 Spring Historic CB1 61    
2026 Spring Historic CBB 87    
2026 Spring Historic CBC 39    
2026 Spring Historic CBT 96    
2026 Spring Historic CHI 64    
2026 Spring Historic CIA 117    
2026 Spring Historic CIB 83    
2026 Spring Historic CIC 41    
2026 Spring Historic CID 58    
2026 Spring Historic CMZ 58    
2026 Spring Historic CPT 111    
2026 Spring Historic CSA 20    
2026 Spring Historic CSB 31    
2026 Spring Historic CSC 29    
2026 Spring Historic DOL 42    
2026 Spring Historic G 60    
2026 Spring Historic GMX 53    
2026 Spring Historic GSH 62    
2026 Spring Historic HDK 31    
2026 Spring Historic HLE 14    
2026 Spring Historic HPM 59    
2026 Spring Historic HS1 289    
2026 Spring Historic IHR 36    
2026 Spring Historic IMN 51    
2026 Spring Historic KTR 54    
2026 Spring Historic MCC 50    
2026 Spring Historic MID 61    
2026 Spring Historic MOV 60    
2026 Spring Historic MPI 73    
2026 Spring Historic NSA 56    
2026 Spring Historic NSB 47    
2026 Spring Historic NUT 50    
2026 Spring Historic PB1 89    
2026 Spring Historic PH1 189    
2026 Spring Historic PS 61    
2026 Spring Historic PT 56    
2026 Spring Historic RC1 212    
2026 Spring Historic RS 54    
2026 Spring Historic SDA 31    
2026 Spring Historic TIR 59    
2026 Spring Historic VVP 46    
2026 Fall Forecast BCA 94 78 112
2026 Fall Forecast BMA 38 29 46
2026 Fall Forecast BMB 41 33 54
2026 Fall Forecast BME 114 97 124
2026 Fall Forecast BSA 48 42 57
2026 Fall Forecast BSB 133 115 154
2026 Fall Forecast BSC 66 55 80
2026 Fall Forecast CB1 65 60 72
2026 Fall Forecast CBB 92 80 111
2026 Fall Forecast CBC 40 34 49
2026 Fall Forecast CBT 102 86 129
2026 Fall Forecast CHI 68 56 77
2026 Fall Forecast CIA 122 94 137
2026 Fall Forecast CIB 87 81 102
2026 Fall Forecast CIC 44 38 50
2026 Fall Forecast CID 62 56 69
2026 Fall Forecast CMZ 62 52 70
2026 Fall Forecast CPT 116 93 138
2026 Fall Forecast CSA 20 10 25
2026 Fall Forecast CSB 32 18 40
2026 Fall Forecast CSC 29 25 35
2026 Fall Forecast DOL 43 32 51
2026 Fall Forecast G 64 54 71
2026 Fall Forecast GMX 54 37 68
2026 Fall Forecast GSH 67 52 82
2026 Fall Forecast HDK 32 24 37
2026 Fall Forecast HLE 15 12 17
2026 Fall Forecast HPM 63 49 70
2026 Fall Forecast HS1 315 289 341
2026 Fall Forecast IHR 39 33 46
2026 Fall Forecast IMN 52 41 62
2026 Fall Forecast KTR 59 42 72
2026 Fall Forecast MCC 52 39 66
2026 Fall Forecast MID 63 49 76
2026 Fall Forecast MOV 63 52 72
2026 Fall Forecast MPI 78 63 89
2026 Fall Forecast NSA 56 41 72
2026 Fall Forecast NSB 48 42 57
2026 Fall Forecast NUT 53 43 59
2026 Fall Forecast PB1 95 81 113
2026 Fall Forecast PH1 203 182 219
2026 Fall Forecast PS 64 55 74
2026 Fall Forecast PT 58 47 64
2026 Fall Forecast RC1 232 202 275
2026 Fall Forecast RS 58 52 66
2026 Fall Forecast SDA 34 15 46
2026 Fall Forecast TIR 65 60 71
2026 Fall Forecast VVP 48 32 59
2027 Spring Forecast BCA 100 68 136
2027 Spring Forecast BMA 40 22 56
2027 Spring Forecast BMB 43 27 69
2027 Spring Forecast BME 122 88 142
2027 Spring Forecast BSA 50 38 68
2027 Spring Forecast BSB 139 103 181
2027 Spring Forecast BSC 70 48 98
2027 Spring Forecast CB1 69 59 83
2027 Spring Forecast CBB 97 73 135
2027 Spring Forecast CBC 41 29 59
2027 Spring Forecast CBT 108 76 162
2027 Spring Forecast CHI 72 48 90
2027 Spring Forecast CIA 127 71 157
2027 Spring Forecast CIB 91 79 121
2027 Spring Forecast CIC 47 35 59
2027 Spring Forecast CID 66 54 80
2027 Spring Forecast CMZ 66 46 82
2027 Spring Forecast CPT 121 75 165
2027 Spring Forecast CSA 20 0 30
2027 Spring Forecast CSB 33 5 49
2027 Spring Forecast CSC 29 21 41
2027 Spring Forecast DOL 44 22 60
2027 Spring Forecast G 68 48 82
2027 Spring Forecast GMX 55 21 83
2027 Spring Forecast GSH 72 42 102
2027 Spring Forecast HDK 33 17 43
2027 Spring Forecast HLE 16 10 20
2027 Spring Forecast HPM 67 39 81
2027 Spring Forecast HS1 341 289 393
2027 Spring Forecast IHR 42 30 56
2027 Spring Forecast IMN 53 31 73
2027 Spring Forecast KTR 64 30 90
2027 Spring Forecast MCC 54 28 82
2027 Spring Forecast MID 65 37 91
2027 Spring Forecast MOV 66 44 84
2027 Spring Forecast MPI 83 53 105
2027 Spring Forecast NSA 56 26 88
2027 Spring Forecast NSB 49 37 67
2027 Spring Forecast NUT 56 36 68
2027 Spring Forecast PB1 101 73 137
2027 Spring Forecast PH1 217 175 249
2027 Spring Forecast PS 67 49 87
2027 Spring Forecast PT 60 38 72
2027 Spring Forecast RC1 252 192 338
2027 Spring Forecast RS 62 50 78
2027 Spring Forecast SDA 37 0 61
2027 Spring Forecast TIR 71 61 83
2027 Spring Forecast VVP 50 18 72
2027 Fall Forecast BCA 106 58 160
2027 Fall Forecast BMA 42 15 66
2027 Fall Forecast BMB 45 21 84
2027 Fall Forecast BME 130 79 160
2027 Fall Forecast BSA 52 34 79
2027 Fall Forecast BSB 145 91 208
2027 Fall Forecast BSC 74 41 116
2027 Fall Forecast CB1 73 58 94
2027 Fall Forecast CBB 102 66 159
2027 Fall Forecast CBC 42 24 69
2027 Fall Forecast CBT 114 66 195
2027 Fall Forecast CHI 76 40 103
2027 Fall Forecast CIA 132 48 177
2027 Fall Forecast CIB 95 77 140
2027 Fall Forecast CIC 50 32 68
2027 Fall Forecast CID 70 52 91
2027 Fall Forecast CMZ 70 40 94
2027 Fall Forecast CPT 126 57 192
2027 Fall Forecast CSA 20 0 35
2027 Fall Forecast CSB 34 0 58
2027 Fall Forecast CSC 29 17 47
2027 Fall Forecast DOL 45 12 69
2027 Fall Forecast G 72 42 93
2027 Fall Forecast GMX 56 5 98
2027 Fall Forecast GSH 77 32 122
2027 Fall Forecast HDK 34 10 49
2027 Fall Forecast HLE 17 8 23
2027 Fall Forecast HPM 71 29 92
2027 Fall Forecast HS1 367 289 445
2027 Fall Forecast IHR 45 27 66
2027 Fall Forecast IMN 54 21 84
2027 Fall Forecast KTR 69 18 108
2027 Fall Forecast MCC 56 17 98
2027 Fall Forecast MID 67 25 106
2027 Fall Forecast MOV 69 36 96
2027 Fall Forecast MPI 88 43 121
2027 Fall Forecast NSA 56 11 104
2027 Fall Forecast NSB 50 32 77
2027 Fall Forecast NUT 59 29 77
2027 Fall Forecast PB1 107 65 161
2027 Fall Forecast PH1 231 168 279
2027 Fall Forecast PS 70 43 100
2027 Fall Forecast PT 62 29 80
2027 Fall Forecast RC1 272 182 401
2027 Fall Forecast RS 66 48 90
2027 Fall Forecast SDA 40 0 76
2027 Fall Forecast TIR 77 62 95
2027 Fall Forecast VVP 52 4 85
2028 Spring Forecast BCA 112 48 184
2028 Spring Forecast BMA 44 8 76
2028 Spring Forecast BMB 47 15 99
2028 Spring Forecast BME 138 70 178
2028 Spring Forecast BSA 54 30 90
2028 Spring Forecast BSB 151 79 235
2028 Spring Forecast BSC 78 34 134
2028 Spring Forecast CB1 77 57 105
2028 Spring Forecast CBB 107 59 183
2028 Spring Forecast CBC 43 19 79
2028 Spring Forecast CBT 120 56 228
2028 Spring Forecast CHI 80 32 116
2028 Spring Forecast CIA 137 25 197
2028 Spring Forecast CIB 99 75 159
2028 Spring Forecast CIC 53 29 77
2028 Spring Forecast CID 74 50 102
2028 Spring Forecast CMZ 74 34 106
2028 Spring Forecast CPT 131 39 219
2028 Spring Forecast CSA 20 0 40
2028 Spring Forecast CSB 35 0 67
2028 Spring Forecast CSC 29 13 53
2028 Spring Forecast DOL 46 2 78
2028 Spring Forecast G 76 36 104
2028 Spring Forecast GMX 57 0 113
2028 Spring Forecast GSH 82 22 142
2028 Spring Forecast HDK 35 3 55
2028 Spring Forecast HLE 18 6 26
2028 Spring Forecast HPM 75 19 103
2028 Spring Forecast HS1 393 289 497
2028 Spring Forecast IHR 48 24 76
2028 Spring Forecast IMN 55 11 95
2028 Spring Forecast KTR 74 6 126
2028 Spring Forecast MCC 58 6 114
2028 Spring Forecast MID 69 13 121
2028 Spring Forecast MOV 72 28 108
2028 Spring Forecast MPI 93 33 137
2028 Spring Forecast NSA 56 0 120
2028 Spring Forecast NSB 51 27 87
2028 Spring Forecast NUT 62 22 86
2028 Spring Forecast PB1 113 57 185
2028 Spring Forecast PH1 245 161 309
2028 Spring Forecast PS 73 37 113
2028 Spring Forecast PT 64 20 88
2028 Spring Forecast RC1 292 172 464
2028 Spring Forecast RS 70 46 102
2028 Spring Forecast SDA 43 0 91
2028 Spring Forecast TIR 83 63 107
2028 Spring Forecast VVP 54 0 98

Return to Figure 5 referrer


Figure 6: Count of number of real and forecast applications submitted across competitions by primary institute for the Institute of Aging (IA), Cancer Research (ICR), Circulatory and Respiratory Health (ICRH), Genetics (IG), Gender and Health (IGH), Human Development, Child and youth Health (IHDCYH), Health Services and Policy Research (IHSPR), Infection and immunity (III), Indigenous Peoples’ Health (IIPH), Musculoskeletal Health and Arthritis (IMHA), Nutrition, Metabolism and Diabetes (INMD), Neurosciences, Mental Health and Addiction (INMHA) and Population and Public Health (IPPH)

Figure 6 long description
Project Competition Competition Type Primary Institute Applications Applications Lower Bound Applications Upper Bound
2018 Fall Historic IA 129    
2018 Fall Historic ICR 385    
2018 Fall Historic ICRH 271    
2018 Fall Historic IG 170    
2018 Fall Historic IGH 42    
2018 Fall Historic IHDCYH 169    
2018 Fall Historic IHSPR 182    
2018 Fall Historic III 223    
2018 Fall Historic IIPH 23    
2018 Fall Historic IMHA 154    
2018 Fall Historic INMD 193    
2018 Fall Historic INMHA 427    
2018 Fall Historic IPPH 116    
2019 Spring Historic IA 134    
2019 Spring Historic ICR 351    
2019 Spring Historic ICRH 246    
2019 Spring Historic IG 157    
2019 Spring Historic IGH 40    
2019 Spring Historic IHDCYH 204    
2019 Spring Historic IHSPR 192    
2019 Spring Historic III 200    
2019 Spring Historic IIPH 24    
2019 Spring Historic IMHA 129    
2019 Spring Historic INMD 186    
2019 Spring Historic INMHA 425    
2019 Spring Historic IPPH 157    
2019 Fall Historic IA 120    
2019 Fall Historic ICR 314    
2019 Fall Historic ICRH 246    
2019 Fall Historic IG 128    
2019 Fall Historic IGH 42    
2019 Fall Historic IHDCYH 168    
2019 Fall Historic IHSPR 187    
2019 Fall Historic III 192    
2019 Fall Historic IIPH 24    
2019 Fall Historic IMHA 119    
2019 Fall Historic INMD 153    
2019 Fall Historic INMHA 376    
2019 Fall Historic IPPH 114    
2020 Spring Historic IA 120    
2020 Spring Historic ICR 321    
2020 Spring Historic ICRH 222    
2020 Spring Historic IG 122    
2020 Spring Historic IGH 39    
2020 Spring Historic IHDCYH 177    
2020 Spring Historic IHSPR 161    
2020 Spring Historic III 174    
2020 Spring Historic IIPH 21    
2020 Spring Historic IMHA 130    
2020 Spring Historic INMD 140    
2020 Spring Historic INMHA 371    
2020 Spring Historic IPPH 132    
2020 Fall Historic IA 134    
2020 Fall Historic ICR 339    
2020 Fall Historic ICRH 282    
2020 Fall Historic IG 128    
2020 Fall Historic IGH 49    
2020 Fall Historic IHDCYH 187    
2020 Fall Historic IHSPR 217    
2020 Fall Historic III 207    
2020 Fall Historic IIPH 33    
2020 Fall Historic IMHA 131    
2020 Fall Historic INMD 145    
2020 Fall Historic INMHA 357    
2020 Fall Historic IPPH 149    
2021 Spring Historic IA 138    
2021 Spring Historic ICR 350    
2021 Spring Historic ICRH 291    
2021 Spring Historic IG 138    
2021 Spring Historic IGH 52    
2021 Spring Historic IHDCYH 175    
2021 Spring Historic IHSPR 190    
2021 Spring Historic III 213    
2021 Spring Historic IIPH 27    
2021 Spring Historic IMHA 126    
2021 Spring Historic INMD 149    
2021 Spring Historic INMHA 380    
2021 Spring Historic IPPH 152    
2021 Fall Historic IA 132    
2021 Fall Historic ICR 280    
2021 Fall Historic ICRH 262    
2021 Fall Historic IG 136    
2021 Fall Historic IGH 37    
2021 Fall Historic IHDCYH 159    
2021 Fall Historic IHSPR 146    
2021 Fall Historic III 161    
2021 Fall Historic IIPH 17    
2021 Fall Historic IMHA 121    
2021 Fall Historic INMD 139    
2021 Fall Historic INMHA 327    
2021 Fall Historic IPPH 97    
2022 Spring Historic IA 117    
2022 Spring Historic ICR 308    
2022 Spring Historic ICRH 232    
2022 Spring Historic IG 134    
2022 Spring Historic IGH 50    
2022 Spring Historic IHDCYH 155    
2022 Spring Historic IHSPR 171    
2022 Spring Historic III 186    
2022 Spring Historic IIPH 20    
2022 Spring Historic IMHA 114    
2022 Spring Historic INMD 127    
2022 Spring Historic INMHA 350    
2022 Spring Historic IPPH 131    
2022 Fall Historic IA 104    
2022 Fall Historic ICR 284    
2022 Fall Historic ICRH 184    
2022 Fall Historic IG 127    
2022 Fall Historic IGH 42    
2022 Fall Historic IHDCYH 147    
2022 Fall Historic IHSPR 137    
2022 Fall Historic III 184    
2022 Fall Historic IIPH 13    
2022 Fall Historic IMHA 109    
2022 Fall Historic INMD 123    
2022 Fall Historic INMHA 333    
2022 Fall Historic IPPH 112    
2023 Spring Historic IA 110    
2023 Spring Historic ICR 316    
2023 Spring Historic ICRH 216    
2023 Spring Historic IG 140    
2023 Spring Historic IGH 36    
2023 Spring Historic IHDCYH 160    
2023 Spring Historic IHSPR 164    
2023 Spring Historic III 189    
2023 Spring Historic IIPH 18    
2023 Spring Historic IMHA 127    
2023 Spring Historic INMD 152    
2023 Spring Historic INMHA 352    
2023 Spring Historic IPPH 133    
2023 Fall Historic IA 120    
2023 Fall Historic ICR 312    
2023 Fall Historic ICRH 227    
2023 Fall Historic IG 137    
2023 Fall Historic IGH 50    
2023 Fall Historic IHDCYH 146    
2023 Fall Historic IHSPR 172    
2023 Fall Historic III 206    
2023 Fall Historic IIPH 17    
2023 Fall Historic IMHA 132    
2023 Fall Historic INMD 151    
2023 Fall Historic INMHA 369    
2023 Fall Historic IPPH 136    
2024 Spring Historic IA 140    
2024 Spring Historic ICR 318    
2024 Spring Historic ICRH 240    
2024 Spring Historic IG 170    
2024 Spring Historic IGH 61    
2024 Spring Historic IHDCYH 185    
2024 Spring Historic IHSPR 205    
2024 Spring Historic III 241    
2024 Spring Historic IIPH 24    
2024 Spring Historic IMHA 127    
2024 Spring Historic INMD 173    
2024 Spring Historic INMHA 389    
2024 Spring Historic IPPH 170    
2024 Fall Historic IA 150    
2024 Fall Historic ICR 374    
2024 Fall Historic ICRH 294    
2024 Fall Historic IG 176    
2024 Fall Historic IGH 73    
2024 Fall Historic IHDCYH 171    
2024 Fall Historic IHSPR 208    
2024 Fall Historic III 234    
2024 Fall Historic IIPH 23    
2024 Fall Historic IMHA 143    
2024 Fall Historic INMD 183    
2024 Fall Historic INMHA 423    
2024 Fall Historic IPPH 179    
2025 Spring Historic IA 181    
2025 Spring Historic ICR 403    
2025 Spring Historic ICRH 280    
2025 Spring Historic IG 171    
2025 Spring Historic IGH 68    
2025 Spring Historic IHDCYH 194    
2025 Spring Historic IHSPR 231    
2025 Spring Historic III 265    
2025 Spring Historic IIPH 29    
2025 Spring Historic IMHA 163    
2025 Spring Historic INMD 184    
2025 Spring Historic INMHA 458    
2025 Spring Historic IPPH 187    
2025 Fall Historic IA 151    
2025 Fall Historic ICR 444    
2025 Fall Historic ICRH 298    
2025 Fall Historic IG 206    
2025 Fall Historic IGH 91    
2025 Fall Historic IHDCYH 223    
2025 Fall Historic IHSPR 291    
2025 Fall Historic III 264    
2025 Fall Historic IIPH 33    
2025 Fall Historic IMHA 187    
2025 Fall Historic INMD 189    
2025 Fall Historic INMHA 508    
2025 Fall Historic IPPH 216    
2026 Spring Historic IA 200    
2026 Spring Historic ICR 459    
2026 Spring Historic ICRH 306    
2026 Spring Historic IG 179    
2026 Spring Historic IGH 94    
2026 Spring Historic IHDCYH 242    
2026 Spring Historic IHSPR 354    
2026 Spring Historic III 274    
2026 Spring Historic IIPH 39    
2026 Spring Historic IMHA 198    
2026 Spring Historic INMD 215    
2026 Spring Historic INMHA 551    
2026 Spring Historic IPPH 233    
2026 Fall Forecast IA 214 170 249
2026 Fall Forecast ICR 484 455 515
2026 Fall Forecast ICRH 323 292 360
2026 Fall Forecast IG 186 152 214
2026 Fall Forecast IGH 101 88 117
2026 Fall Forecast IHDCYH 256 228 281
2026 Fall Forecast IHSPR 385 357 417
2026 Fall Forecast III 287 267 309
2026 Fall Forecast IIPH 43 38 46
2026 Fall Forecast IMHA 211 193 222
2026 Fall Forecast INMD 228 214 244
2026 Fall Forecast INMHA 582 568 601
2026 Fall Forecast IPPH 250 236 267
2027 Spring Forecast IA 228 140 298
2027 Spring Forecast ICR 509 451 571
2027 Spring Forecast ICRH 340 278 414
2027 Spring Forecast IG 193 125 249
2027 Spring Forecast IGH 108 82 140
2027 Spring Forecast IHDCYH 270 214 320
2027 Spring Forecast IHSPR 416 360 480
2027 Spring Forecast III 300 260 344
2027 Spring Forecast IIPH 47 37 53
2027 Spring Forecast IMHA 224 188 246
2027 Spring Forecast INMD 241 213 273
2027 Spring Forecast INMHA 613 585 651
2027 Spring Forecast IPPH 267 239 301
2027 Fall Forecast IA 242 110 347
2027 Fall Forecast ICR 534 447 627
2027 Fall Forecast ICRH 357 264 468
2027 Fall Forecast IG 200 98 284
2027 Fall Forecast IGH 115 76 163
2027 Fall Forecast IHDCYH 284 200 359
2027 Fall Forecast IHSPR 447 363 543
2027 Fall Forecast III 313 253 379
2027 Fall Forecast IIPH 51 36 60
2027 Fall Forecast IMHA 237 183 270
2027 Fall Forecast INMD 254 212 302
2027 Fall Forecast INMHA 644 602 701
2027 Fall Forecast IPPH 284 242 335
2028 Spring Forecast IA 256 80 396
2028 Spring Forecast ICR 559 443 683
2028 Spring Forecast ICRH 374 250 522
2028 Spring Forecast IG 207 71 319
2028 Spring Forecast IGH 122 70 186
2028 Spring Forecast IHDCYH 298 186 398
2028 Spring Forecast IHSPR 478 366 606
2028 Spring Forecast III 326 246 414
2028 Spring Forecast IIPH 55 35 67
2028 Spring Forecast IMHA 250 178 294
2028 Spring Forecast INMD 267 211 331
2028 Spring Forecast INMHA 675 619 751
2028 Spring Forecast IPPH 301 245 369

Return to Figure 6 referrer


Figure 7: The number and proportion of NPAs that submit multiple applications (left) and the success rate of second applications (right)

Figure 7 long description
Project Competition Number of NPA Submitting Two Applications Proportion of NPA Submitting Two Applications Number of Second Applications Funded Success Rate of Second Applications
2022 Spring 204 10.8% 14 6.9%
2022 Fall 186 10.9% 9 4.9%
2023 Spring 214 11.3% 9 4.2%
2023 Fall 222 11.4% 5 2.3%
2024 Spring 273 12.6% 9 3.3%
2024 Fall 326 14.1% 11 3.4%
2025 Spring 365 14.9% 8 2.2%
2025 Fall 434 16.3% 6 1.4%
2026 Spring 491 17.2% 8 1.6%

Return to Figure 7 referrer


Figure 8: The proportion of NPAs that submit multiple applications by pillar

Figure 8 long description
Project Competition Pillar Proportion of NPA Submitting Two Applications
2022 Spring Biomedical 11.9%
2022 Spring Clinical 9.0%
2022 Spring Health systems/services 3.6%
2022 Spring Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 4.4%
2022 Fall Biomedical 12.1%
2022 Fall Clinical 5.0%
2022 Fall Health systems/services 3.1%
2022 Fall Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 5.1%
2023 Spring Biomedical 11.4%
2023 Spring Clinical 6.6%
2023 Spring Health systems/services 5.9%
2023 Spring Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 7.0%
2023 Fall Biomedical 11.3%
2023 Fall Clinical 7.5%
2023 Fall Health systems/services 4.3%
2023 Fall Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 6.1%
2024 Spring Biomedical 13.1%
2024 Spring Clinical 8.5%
2024 Spring Health systems/services 4.1%
2024 Spring Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 5.4%
2024 Fall Biomedical 14.8%
2024 Fall Clinical 9.4%
2024 Fall Health systems/services 5.7%
2024 Fall Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 7.5%
2025 Spring Biomedical 15.9%
2025 Spring Clinical 8.2%
2025 Spring Health systems/services 6.4%
2025 Spring Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 7.8%
2025 Fall Biomedical 16.8%
2025 Fall Clinical 9.6%
2025 Fall Health systems/services 6.5%
2025 Fall Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 7.4%
2026 Spring Biomedical 16.8%
2026 Spring Clinical 10.9%
2026 Spring Health systems/services 7.7%
2026 Spring Social/Cultural/Environmental/Population Health 8.3%

Return to Figure 8 referrer


Figure 9: Proportion of NPAs that submit multiple applications that are second submissions from the same NPA by career stage

Figure 9 long description
Project Competition Career Stage Proportion of NPA Submitting Two Applications
2022 Spring ECR 7.4%
2022 Spring MCR 10.8%
2022 Spring SCR 13.3%
2022 Fall ECR 8.3%
2022 Fall MCR 9.7%
2022 Fall SCR 13.1%
2023 Spring ECR 8.9%
2023 Spring MCR 11.9%
2023 Spring SCR 12.3%
2023 Fall ECR 7.8%
2023 Fall MCR 12.3%
2023 Fall SCR 12.5%
2024 Spring ECR 9.0%
2024 Spring MCR 15.1%
2024 Spring SCR 12.3%
2024 Fall ECR 10.7%
2024 Fall MCR 17.0%
2024 Fall SCR 13.8%
2025 Spring ECR 11.4%
2025 Spring MCR 16.9%
2025 Spring SCR 15.7%
2025 Fall ECR 12.9%
2025 Fall MCR 16.4%
2025 Fall SCR 18.0%
2026 Spring ECR 14.9%
2026 Spring MCR 18.5%
2026 Spring SCR 17.6%

Return to Figure 9 referrer


Figure 10: Number of applications and percentage of resubmissions by fiscal year

Figure 10 long description
Project Competition Applications New Applications Resubmissions Proportion of Applications that are Resubmissions
2023 Spring 2113 1163 950 45.0%
2023 Fall 2175 1067 1108 50.9%
2024 Spring 2443 1222 1221 50.0%
2024 Fall 2631 1224 1407 53.5%
2025 Spring 2814 1398 1416 50.3%
2025 Fall 3101 1473 1628 52.5%
2026 Spring 3344 1486 1858 55.6%

Return to Figure 10 referrer


Figure 11: Application pressure from Foundation holders across Project Grant competitions

Figure 11 long description
Competition Number of applications submitted Non Foundation holders Current Foundation holders Previous Foundation holders
Spring 2016 3813 3813 0 0
Fall 2016 2884 2884 0 0
Fall 2017 3415 3415 0 0
Spring 2018 2633 2633 0 0
Fall 2018 2484 2484 0 0
Spring 2019 2445 2445 0 0
Fall 2019 2183 2183 0 0
Spring 2020 2131 2131 0 0
Fall 2020 2358 2358 0 0
Spring 2021 2381 2313 68 0
Fall 2021 2014 1939 75 0
Spring 2022 2095 1978 117 0
Fall 2022 1899 1793 42 64
Spring 2023 2113 1990 68 55
Fall 2023 2175 2070 33 72
Spring 2024 2443 2321 57 65
Fall 2024 2631 2507 27 97
Spring 2025 2814 2686 33 95
Fall 2025 3101 2955 19 127
Spring 2026 3344 3196 23 125

Return to Figure 11 referrer


Figure 12: Active funded Project Grants by competition cycle and Foundation holder status

Figure 12 long description
Competition Number of active funded Project grants Non Foundation holders Current Foundation holders Previous Foundation holders
Spring 2016 461 461 0 0
Fall 2016 935 935 0 0
Fall 2017 1410 1410 0 0
Spring 2018 1737 1737 0 0
Fall 2018 2089 2089 0 0
Spring 2019 2355 2355 0 0
Fall 2019 2638 2638 0 0
Spring 2020 2906 2906 0 0
Fall 2020 3112 3112 0 0
Spring 2021 3159 3145 11 3
Fall 2021 3106 3086 18 2
Spring 2022 3382 3301 9 72
Fall 2022 3319 3213 13 93
Spring 2023 3380 3219 5 156
Fall 2023 3344 3161 5 178
Spring 2024 3356 3127 7 222
Fall 2024 3435 3185 11 239
Spring 2025 3532 3256 2 274
Fall 2025 3579 3282 2 295
Spring 2026 3655 3329 0 326

Return to Figure 12 referrer


Figure 13: Application submission patterns among unique NPAs by Foundation holder status

Figure 13 long description
Competition Foundation Holder Status Multiple Applications Single Application
Fall 2022 Foundation holders 1.28 % 3.62 %
Fall 2022 Non Foundation holders 9.57 % 85.52 %
Spring 2023 Foundation holders 1.26 % 3.95 %
Spring 2023 Non Foundation holders 10.01 % 84.78 %
Fall 2023 Foundation holders 0.72 % 3.94 %
Fall 2023 Non Foundation holders 10.65 % 84.69 %
Spring 2024 Foundation holders 1.11 % 3.41 %
Spring 2024 Non Foundation holders 11.47 % 84.01 %
Fall 2024 Foundation holders 0.95 % 3.47 %
Fall 2024 Non Foundation holders 13.19 % 82.39 %
Spring 2025 Foundation holders 0.94 % 3.35 %
Spring 2025 Non Foundation holders 13.96 % 81.75 %
Fall 2025 Foundation holders 1.20 % 3.07 %
Fall 2025 Non Foundation holders 15.07 % 80.65 %
Spring 2026 Foundation holders 1.09 % 3.01 %
Spring 2026 Non Foundation holders 16.12 % 79.78 %

Return to Figure 13 referrer


Figure 14: Mean requested and funded Project Grant size by fiscal year

Figure 14 long description
Fiscal Year Requested (all apps) Requested - Inflation adjusted Funded Funded - Inflation adjusted
2017-18 $916,503 $916,503 $728,433 $728,433
2018-19 $913,777 $934,794 $725,080 $741,757
2019-20 $920,195 $937,679 $730,853 $744,739
2020-21 $938,076 $944,642 $772,049 $777,454
2021-22 $971,204 $1,004,225 $790,869 $817,759
2022-23 $1,057,425 $1,129,330 $838,047 $895,034
2023-24 $1,066,834 $1,108,441 $870,079 $904,012
2024-25 $1,131,289 $1,158,440 $925,481 $947,693
2025-26 $1,181,679 $1,206,495 $957,321 $977,425

Return to Figure 14 referrer


Figure 15: Number (left panel) and proportion (right panel) of reviewer invitation responses. Data are fit using LOESS

Figure 15 long description
  Confirmed Confirmed-No Assignments Declined No Response
Competition Code Competition Date Total Competition Count Percentage Count Percentage Count Percentage Count Percentage
201709PJT 2017-09-15 3732 1660 44.5% 100 2.7% 1644 44.1% 304 8.1%
201803PJT 2018-03-06 2964 1340 45.2% 128 4.3% 1296 43.7% 188 6.3%
201809PJT 2018-09-12 3088 1370 44.4% 143 4.6% 1363 44.1% 210 6.8%
201903PJT 2019-03-06 3469 1390 40.1% 163 4.7% 1691 48.7% 224 6.5%
201909PJT 2019-09-11 3497 1254 35.9% 339 9.7% 1570 44.9% 334 9.6%
202003PJT 2020-03-04 2462 1232 50.0% 135 5.5% 882 35.8% 213 8.7%
202010PJT 2020-10-15 2702 1480 54.8% 186 6.9% 864 32.0% 168 6.2%
202104PJT 2021-04-01 3574 1535 42.9% 199 5.6% 1503 42.1% 331 9.3%
202109PJT 2021-09-15 2805 1404 50.1% 149 5.3% 1020 36.4% 229 8.2%
202203PJT 2022-03-16 3573 1458 40.8% 190 5.3% 1613 45.1% 302 8.5%
202209PJT 2022-09-14 3265 1344 41.2% 183 5.6% 1409 43.2% 324 9.9%
202303PJT 2023-03-08 3584 1476 41.2% 168 4.7% 1614 45.0% 317 8.8%
202309PJT 2023-09-14 3675 1481 40.3% 182 5.0% 1528 41.6% 475 12.9%
202403PJT 2024-03-06 3794 1561 41.1% 185 4.9% 1645 43.4% 390 10.3%
202409PJT 2024-09-11 4697 1727 36.8% 222 4.7% 2179 46.4% 550 11.7%
202503PJT 2025-03-05 4746 1860 39.2% 263 5.5% 2072 43.7% 534 11.3%
202509PJT 2025-09-10 5166 1987 38.5% 254 4.9% 2265 43.8% 641 12.4%
202603PJT 2026-03-04 5752 2101 36.5% 296 5.1% 2593 45.1% 753 13.1%

Return to Figure 15 referrer


Figure 16: Number of reviewers with no applications funded

Figure 16 long description
Competition Number of reviewers Proportion
2018 Spring 297 30.0%
2018 Fall 246 26.4%
2019 Spring 231 25.2%
2019 Fall 184 21.4%
2020 Spring 268 29.0%
2020 Fall 322 31.5%
2021 Spring 261 25.1%
2021 Fall 220 23.3%
2022 Spring 259 26.3%
2022 Fall 209 23.5%
2023 Spring 281 28.6%
2023 Fall 284 28.8%
2024 Spring 387 33.9%
2024 Fall 360 30.0%
2025 Spring 445 33.9%
2025 Fall 554 40.0%
2026 Spring 610 40.9%

Return to Figure 16 referrer


Figure 17: Number of reviewers with no applications discussed

Figure 17 long description
Competition Number of reviewers Proportion
2018 Spring 4 0.4%
2018 Fall 1 0.1%
2019 Spring 1 0.1%
2019 Fall 2 0.2%
2020 Spring 14 1.5%
2020 Fall 7 0.7%
2021 Spring 12 1.2%
2021 Fall 14 1.5%
2022 Spring 16 1.6%
2022 Fall 31 3.5%
2023 Spring 24 2.4%
2023 Fall 27 2.7%
2024 Spring 25 2.2%
2024 Fall 29 2.4%
2025 Spring 41 3.1%
2025 Fall 44 3.2%
2026 Spring 47 3.2%

Return to Figure 17 referrer


Figure 18: Proportion of NPAs who reviewed in the previous competition

Figure 18 long description
Competition Reviewers who applied Reviewers who did not apply Percentage of reviewers that applied to the next comeptition
2017 Fall 482 1157 29.4%
2018 Spring 372 965 27.8%
2018 Fall 379 979 27.9%
2019 Spring 362 1016 26.3%
2019 Fall 333 918 26.6%
2020 Spring 299 929 24.3%
2020 Fall 389 1087 26.4%
2021 Spring 340 1193 22.2%
2021 Fall 352 1017 25.7%
2022 Spring 312 1095 22.2%
2022 Fall 318 1020 23.8%
2023 Spring 363 1082 25.1%
2023 Fall 410 1022 28.6%
2024 Spring 449 1070 29.6%
2024 Fall 518 1177 30.6%
2025 Spring 629 1211 34.2%
2025 Fall 717 1283 35.8%

Return to Figure 18 referrer


Figure 19: Success rate by resubmission attempt

Figure 19 long description
Resubmission type N N funded Success rate
1st resubmission 2711 613 22.6%
2nd resubmission 1201 333 27.7%
3rd resubmission 551 158 28.7%
4th+ resubmission 456 124 27.2%

Return to Figure 19 referrer


Figure 20: Number of competitions before resubmission and proportion funded

Figure 20 long description
Number of intervening competitions Proportion of resubmissions funded Number of resubmissions funded Total number of resubmissions
1 26.6% 861 3233
2 18.1% 76 419
3 23.2% 22 95
4 15.6% 7 45
>= 5 9.7% 6 62

Return to Figure 20 referrer


Figure 21: Success rates of applications and reviewers in common between previous submissions and resubmissions

Figure 21 long description
Proportion of resubmissions funded Number of resubmissions funded Total number of resubmissions
Number of reviewers in common Sequential Non-sequential Sequential Non-sequential Sequential Non-sequential
0 21.0% 13.5% 268 51 1277 378
1 29.0% 25.6% 446 54 1537 211
2 33.8% 18.8% 134 6 397 32
3 59.1%   13 0 22 0

Return to Figure 21 referrer


Figure 22: Success rate of NPAs that submit single or multiple applications

Figure 22 long description
Project Competition NPA Type Success Rate
2018 Fall Only 15.6%
2018 Fall Either 24.6%
2018 Fall Both 1.0%
2019 Fall Only 18.3%
2019 Fall Either 26.1%
2019 Fall Both 4.7%
2019 Spring Only 16.4%
2019 Spring Either 22.8%
2019 Spring Both 3.2%
2020 Fall Only 15.4%
2020 Fall Either 23.8%
2020 Fall Both 3.8%
2020 Spring Only 16.1%
2020 Spring Either 26.9%
2020 Spring Both 2.8%
2021 Fall Only 21.4%
2021 Fall Either 30.0%
2021 Fall Both 6.2%
2021 Spring Only 18.8%
2021 Spring Either 26.1%
2021 Spring Both 2.2%
2022 Fall Only 21.0%
2022 Fall Either 28.5%
2022 Fall Both 4.8%
2022 Spring Only 19.1%
2022 Spring Either 33.8%
2022 Spring Both 6.9%
2023 Fall Only 18.0%
2023 Fall Either 25.2%
2023 Fall Both 2.7%
2023 Spring Only 18.2%
2023 Spring Either 30.8%
2023 Spring Both 4.7%
2024 Fall Only 17.7%
2024 Fall Either 27.9%
2024 Fall Both 3.4%
2024 Spring Only 14.9%
2024 Spring Either 30.4%
2024 Spring Both 2.9%
2025 Fall Only 13.8%
2025 Fall Either 24.4%
2025 Fall Both 1.6%
2025 Spring Only 15.2%
2025 Spring Either 30.4%
2025 Spring Both 1.9%
2026 Spring Only 13.5%
2026 Spring Either 22.6%
2026 Spring Both 1.6%

Return to Figure 22 referrer


Figure 23: Percent rank of previous application by the proportion of funded resubmissions

Figure 23 long description
Percent rank of previous application Number of grants funded Total number of applications Proportion
0% 1226 1226 100%
5% 1223 1226 99.8%
10% 1220 1226 99.5%
15% 1209 1226 98.6%
20% 1200 1226 97.9%
25% 1182 1226 96.4%
30% 1155 1226 94.2%
35% 1122 1226 91.5%
40% 1087 1226 88.7%
45% 1043 1226 85.1%
50% 992 1226 80.9%
55% 915 1226 74.6%
60% 820 1226 66.9%
65% 730 1226 59.5%
70% 590 1226 48.1%
75% 434 1226 35.4%
80% 202 1226 16.5%
85% 28 1226 2.28%
90% 3 1226 0.245%
95% 0 1226 0%
100% 0 1226 0%

Return to Figure 23 referrer


Figure 24: Percent rank of previous submissions by a) all or b) funded

Figure 24 long description
Binned percent rank of previous application Group Sample size Median percent rank of resubmission Minimum percent rank of resubmission Maximum percent rank of resubmissions Interquartile range of percent rank of resubmission
10-20% All resubmissions 321 0.353 0 1 0.382
60-70% All resubmissions 774 0.717 0 1 0.351
50-60% All resubmissions 719 0.643 0 1 0.384
20-30% All resubmissions 465 0.454 0 1 0.384
40-50% All resubmissions 578 0.546 0 1 0.397
70-80% All resubmissions 845 0.837 0.0577 1 0.297
0-10%  All resubmissions 280 0.261 0 1 0.394
30-40% All resubmissions 525 0.518 0 1 0.412
80-90% All resubmissions 398 0.864 0.0244 1 0.281
90-100%  All resubmissions 14 0.643 0.08 1 0.356
50-60% Funded resubmissions 164 0.915 0.643 1 0.0728
70-80% Funded resubmissions 393 0.949 0.805 1 0.0701
30-40% Funded resubmissions 68 0.919 0.522 1 0.0872
20-30% Funded resubmissions 45 0.911 0.806 1 0.0662
10-20% Funded resubmissions 20 0.912 0.806 1 0.0964
60-70% Funded resubmissions 234 0.931 0.787 1 0.0757
80-90% Funded resubmissions 200 0.954 0.838 1 0.0683
40-50% Funded resubmissions 95 0.915 0.788 1 0.0847
0-10% Funded resubmissions 6 0.939 0.865 1 0.0731
90-100% Funded resubmissions 3 0.984 0.95 1 0.025

Return to Figure 24 referrer


Figure 25: Proposed process and timeline for one intake per year

Figure 25 long description

This figure illustrates a proposed single annual intake model with an integrated feedback-and-response process. The figure is arranged from left to right and uses blue icons connected by arrows to demonstrate this proposed process.

The process begins on the far left with an icon labelled “Competition deadline.” An arrow points to a “Review” stage icon. From this stage, an arrow leads downward to reviewer assessment icons, and then to an “Applicant” icon. These icons depict how initial assessments could be provided to applicants. An arrow then points to a “Response” icon, with a return arrow to the review process to demonstrate how applicants would have an opportunity to submit a response to the reviewers.

An orange bracket beneath these icons indicates that this feedback-and-response phase would take 2 months.

From the “Review” icon, an arrow points to a “Recalibrate score” icon, showing how reviewers would recalibrate their scores based on applicants’ responses.

A downward arrow leads to a “Triaged applications” icon, illustrating the applications that will not be discussed in committee meetings. From there, an arrow points to a “Notice of Decision” icon.

From the “Recalibrate score” icon, an arrow points right to a “Peer review committee meetings” icon. An arrow then leads to a “Decision” icon. From the “Decision” icon, one arrow points downward to a “Notice of Decision” icon, while a separate arrow points to the right to a “Competition deadline” icon.

Orange brackets indicate that the time between Notices of Decision for triaged applications and the next competition deadline is 6 months, while the time between Notices of Decision for discussed applications and the next competition deadline is 3.5 months.

Return to Figure 25 referrer


Figure 26: Number of competitions to first funded Project grant

Figure 26 long description
Number of competitions to first Project Grant Number of NPA Proportion of NPA
1 571 22.7%
2 590 23.5%
3 479 19.1%
4 325 12.9%
5 199 7.9%
6 131 5.2%
7 86 3.4%
8 57 2.3%
9 30 1.2%
10 15 0.6%
11 14 0.6%
12 8 0.3%
13 5 0.2%
14 2 0.1%
15 1 0.0%

Return to Figure 26 referrer

Tables

Table 2: 8As of Grants Management
Activity Description Key Question

Authoring

Design of the funding opportunity (FO; program objectives, eligibility requirements, assessment criteria, funding parameters and reporting expectations

Did we design the right program?

Advertisement

Communication and promotion of the FO to eligible applicants

Did we reach the right audience?

Application Intake

Submission and receipt of applications (eligibility screening and collection of information for review and administration

Did applicants submit complete applications?

Assessment

Evaluation of applications against established criteria through peer review to inform funding recommendations

Was review fair and efficient?

Approvals & Agreements

Funding decisions are finalized, applicants are notified, and funding agreements and related documentation are completed

Were decisions communicated promptly?

Award & Manage

Administration of funded grants, including release of funds, oversight of awards, and management of ongoing requirements

Are grants being administered effectively?

Analytics & Audit

Collection and analysis of information related to funded projects to support accountability, performance monitoring, and auditing activities

What do the data tell us?

Achievement

Assessment of research outputs, outcomes and impacts, generating evidence that informs future program improvements, Fos and funding decisions

What impact was achieved?

Return to Table 2 referrer


Table 5: Summary of engagement activities and estimated number of participants
Engagement Group Organization/Entity Estimated number of participants

Advisory Boards

Institute Advisory Boards (all 13 institutes); CIHR HIV/AIDS and STBBI Research Advisory Committee; Science Council; Investigator Initiated Research Working Group

250

Networks

University Delegates; Health Charities Coalition of Canada; Canadian Immunology Conference; III New Investigator Forum

270

Institutions

University of British Columbia; Université de Montréal; Université de Laval; University of Ottawa; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; Université de Sherbrooke

600

Peer Reviewers & Researchers

Project Grant Chairs and Scientific Officers; Project Grant Reviewers (Spring 2024); National 'Ask Me Anything' webinars

980

Return to Table 5 referrer


Table 6: Heatmap of summarized feedback received to date. Heatmap was generated using Co-Pilot and notes from engagements.
Theme Sentiment/Interpretation

Root cause and core issue

Strong consensus that system strain is real and driven by funding constraints and unsustainable application volume Strong alignment / consensus

Clarity of framing and narrative

Needs simpler, clearer and more compelling articulation of the problem and rationale for change Contentious / lack of consensus

Strength of evidence

Strong but gaps remain (disaggregated data, behaviour, perceptions and AI impacts) Concerns / important risks

Competition structure (1 vs 2 annual intakes per year)

Contentious with opposition due to risks to continuity of labs and impact on ECRs Contentious / lack of consensus

Application volume management

Broad support in principle but mixed views on mechanisms and impacts on fairness and excellence Support with important considerations

Peer review system

Support to preserve but need for improvements (quality, consistency, burden and incentives) Support with important considerations

Funding decision phase

Interest in partial randomization for funding decisions Support with important considerations

AI and innovation

Interest and necessity for adoption but should be exploratory with limitations and emphasis on privacy and data sovereignty Support with important considerations

Implementation, trust and change management

Requires strong communication, transparency, piloting and engagement Concerns / important risks

Return to Table 6 referrer


Table 7: Summary of Challenge 1 interventions, impacts, benefits and risks
Intervention Main estimated impact Potential benefits Potential risks

One application per NPA

Reduces application volume by 11-17%

Applicants must prioritize their strongest proposal

Limits flexibility

Applicants may seek workarounds

Post-grant pause

Reduces application volume by up to 5-15%

Broadened funding distribution

Increases potential reviewer pool

Restricts funded researchers from pursuing new opportunities immediately after receipt of funding

Resubmission restrictions

Reduces application volume by up to 30%

Reduced reviewer burden

Additional time for application revisions

May prevent potentially fundable applications from returning

Operationally challenging to implement

Applicants may seek workarounds

Single annual intake + feedback/response

Improves review continuity

Reduces application volume

Better reviewer calibration

Applicants can directly address concerns with the same set of reviewers

More time between competition cycles

Less flexibility on submission timing

Risks funding gaps

Biannual intake + feedback/response

Improves review continuity

Applicants can directly address concerns with the same set of reviewers

Maintains flexibility of submission timing

Requires more reviewers

Requires substantial operational support

Requires inclusion of other restriction measures

Letter of Intent stage

Concentrates effort to the most competitive applications

Reduced applicant and reviewer burden

Strong applications may be screened out early

Reduced feedback for unsuccessful applicants at the LOI stage

Rolling intake

Increases flexibility of submission timing

Applicants can submit when an application is ready

Enhances responsivity of funding to emerging health research

Challenges with program budget management

High operational complexity

Challenges with fairness, consistency, reviewer capacity, and equalization

Return to Table 7 referrer


Table 8: Impact of moving from two competitions to one using Project Grant data from 2023-2025
  Competitions/year 2023 2024 2025

# of applications

1

3,285

3,749

4,390

2

4,288

5,074

5,916

Difference

-1,003

-1,325

-1,526

# of fully funded grants

1

760

838

876

2

754

826

856

Difference

6

12

20

Success rate

1

23.1%

22.4%

20.0%

2

17.6%

16.3%

14.5%

Difference

5.6%

6.1%

5.5%

% of grants equalized

1

13.4%

8.6%

12.9%

2

16.2%

9.8%

19.0%

Difference

-2.8%

-1.2%

-6.1%

# of unique nominated principal applicants funded

1

740

808

839

2

718

783

818

Difference

22

25

21

Return to Table 8 referrer


Table 10: Summary of Challenge 2 interventions, impacts, benefits and risks
Intervention Main impact Potential benefits Potential risks/trade-offs

Mandatory peer review

Expands reviewer pool

Reduces recruitment challenges

Reinforces reciprocity

Additional burden to overtaxed research community

Enhanced Chair and SO roles

Improves review quality and consistency

Stronger oversight, calibration, reviewer support, and deliberation

Increased responsibilities for Chair and SOs

Expanded in-person peer review

Strengthens engagement and discussion quality

Improved calibration, networking, and reviewer experience

Significant cost and operational requirements

Risks alienating reviewers unable to attend in-person meetings

A seasonal risks inconsistencies in process across the virtual and in-person peer review meetings

Partial randomization

Addresses uncertainty among highly ranked applications

Acknowledges limits of ranking similar proposals

Improved perceived fairness and equity in funding outcomes

Controversial among some applicants and reviewers

Expanded Program Officer model

Increases scientific and programmatic oversight

Improved applicant support, portfolio management, and strategic guidance

Significant new staffing and operational costs

Recruitment and retention challenges

Funding decisions beyond rank order

Allows flexibility in funding decisions for equally meritorious applications

Supports strategic priorities and/or specific underfunded groups

Concerns about transparency, fairness and objectivity in peer review

Return to Table 10 referrer


Table 12: Summary of Challenge 3 interventions, impacts, benefits and risks
Intervention Main impact Potential benefits Potential risks/trade-offs

Standalone programs

Better aligns programs with distinct research niches

Tailored review, oversight, and program objectives

Greater flexibility

Increased program complexity and fragmentation

Additional operational complexity

Risks fragmenting applicant and reviewer pools

Alternative budget assessment approaches

Improves alignment between requested and awarded budgets

More transparent and consistent budget decisions

Less gaming of budget requests

Reduced applicant and reviewer burden

Requires redesign of review processes

Potential for fewer applications to be funded

Revised application requirements and review criteria

Better aligns assessment with program objectives

Reduced applicant and reviewer burden

Potential for increased support for innovation and high-risk research

Potential uncertainty and variability in review

Return to Table 12 referrer

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